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[NL2-NL10] [NL2 SH] Flush bluff

    • Th334
      Joined: 26.11.2012 Posts: 971
      Poker Stars $2.00 No Limit Hold'em - 6 players
      DeucesCracked Poker Videos Hand History Converter

      BB: $1.70 - VPIP: 18, PFR: 15, 3B: 22, AF: 3.0, Hands: 60
      UTG: $1.60 - VPIP: 57, PFR: 14, 3B: 0, AF: 0.4, Hands: 7
      MP: $2.23 - VPIP: 14, PFR: 9, 3B: 5, AF: 0.0, Hands: 87
      CO: $1.43 - VPIP: 27, PFR: 16, 3B: 2, AF: 1.0, Hands: 190
      Hero (BTN): $2.03 - VPIP: 24, PFR: 20, 3B: 8, AF: 4.3, Hands: 14421
      SB: $1.80 - VPIP: 22, PFR: 3, 3B: 8, AF: 2.8, Hands: 36

      Pre Flop: ($0.03) Hero is BTN with 8 :diamond: A :diamond:
      UTG checks, 2 folds, Hero raises to $0.06, SB raises to $0.10, 2 folds, Hero calls $0.04

      Flop: ($0.22) 5 :heart: 7 :heart: K :heart: (2 players)
      SB bets $0.10, Hero calls $0.10

      Turn: ($0.42) 2 :heart: (2 players)
      SB bets $0.10, Hero raises to $0.46, SB calls $0.36

      River: ($1.34) 4 :spade: (2 players)
      SB checks, Hero bets $1.37, SB folds

      Hi there,

      Flop: his sizing immediately screamed: "I don't have a heart, and I'm so freaked out that I'm not even protecting my hand". Thus, we decide to float.

      Turn: nice card, his bet sizing becomes even worse -- thus we float. After thinking for a while, he calls -- again, doesn't look like a good heart that wants to stack off.

      River: river is blank, and he doesn't even bother with a small bet. I went for a shove, because his line looked too weak, and I expected everything but a rare slowplayed NF fold.

      He showed a set of Kings before folding :f_cool: Fish wins.

      Is it a long run profitable situation, or I was just lucky. Seems like a very nice spot for a bluff. Also note that I never bluff on the river -- this is either the first or the second time (image).

  • 3 replies
    • kymupa
      Joined: 22.10.2009 Posts: 22,364

      Preflop your play is good.

      Postflop I don't really like bluffing here at all. Just fold the flop and refrain yourself from these situations since he might end up calling here with some Kx or so.

    • Th334
      Joined: 26.11.2012 Posts: 971
      At all? :f_frown:

      Come on, honestly, the chances of slowplayed Ah are minimal from such an opponent. And the only hand that might consider calling is Qh, but it doesn't fit into his turn line! Why would Qh bet 10 cents?

      Having an ace, we are also blocking AQ, AJ, AT type of hands with a heart.

      He must be a total idiot to call with Kx here, and we have no reasons to assume that.

      Of course it's easier to fold, but doesn't our line have a higher EV?
    • kymupa
      Joined: 22.10.2009 Posts: 22,364
      I don't think that our line will have higher EV against an average NL2 opponent. I think we will increase much more our winrate if we just keep away from these situations.

      Overall, we really don't need to float these opponents and try to outplay them this way.