[NL20-NL50] KK sqeeze

    • mlatasrb
      mlatasrb
      Gold
      Joined: 01.04.2012 Posts: 2,720
      PartyGaming - $0.25 NL FAST (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
      Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

      BTN: 52.16 BB
      Hero (SB): 190.08 BB
      BB: 62.36 BB
      UTG: 177.52 BB
      MP: 82.88 BB
      CO: 164.44 BB

      Hero posts SB 0.4 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

      Pre Flop: (pot: 1.4 BB) Hero has K:spade: K:heart:

      fold, MP raises to 3 BB, CO calls 3 BB, fold, Hero raises to 12 BB, fold, fold, CO calls 9 BB

      Flop: (28 BB, 2 players) 4:club: 9:club: 3:diamond:
      Hero bets 13.28 BB, CO calls 13.28 BB

      Turn: (54.56 BB, 2 players) A:spade:
      Hero checks, CO bets 32 BB, Hero calls 32 BB

      River: (118.56 BB, 2 players) 6:diamond:
      Hero checks, CO checks

      Hero shows K:spade: K:heart: (One Pair, Kings) (Pre 83%, Flop 92%, Turn 95%)
      CO mucks Q:spade: Q:heart: (One Pair, Queens) (Pre 17%, Flop 8%, Turn 5%)
      Hero wins 112.64 BB


      470 hands, 25 VPiP, PFR 19, flop AF 2.5, turn 7, river 10.

      I posted one hand with him, where he 3betted from BTN with KQ deep, and he 3barreled until all in deep on K high, which shows me he is loose aggresive.


      Is my check call turn ok? I also planned to call river even if he pushes (because he is loose)

      I expect him to call sqeeze almost always with PP, and if he ever does it with Ax, then he would probably fold flop, or only with Ax with fd he could hit turn, but it is quiestion if he would bet turn and river.
  • 3 replies
    • BogdanPS
      BogdanPS
      Basic
      Joined: 12.05.2010 Posts: 27,588
      Hi mlatasrb,

      Preflop: looks fine

      Postflop: He could have a few combos with Ax here (Ax d, Ax c) so I wouldn't discount that entirely.

      Calling turn is definetely fine because he can have floats or even bet worse pairs (like here) but river would be close. I expect most pairs to check back and only some bluffs and Ax to bet.

      However some Ax (lower than AQ) probably check back so that makes it closer to a call given our history. Would you call any amount or just 1/2 or less?
    • mlatasrb
      mlatasrb
      Gold
      Joined: 01.04.2012 Posts: 2,720
      " Would you call any amount or just 1/2 or less?"

      Actually I would fold to 1/2 or less (only call if it is really small) because it is mostly for value. If he would bet large > 3/4 than I would call, because I think he could do that only with set or missed draws, bluffs and I need ti be right 33% of time to be profitable.
    • BogdanPS
      BogdanPS
      Basic
      Joined: 12.05.2010 Posts: 27,588
      Originally posted by mlatasrb
      " Would you call any amount or just 1/2 or less?"

      Actually I would fold to 1/2 or less (only call if it is really small) because it is mostly for value. If he would bet large > 3/4 than I would call, because I think he could do that only with set or missed draws, bluffs and I need ti be right 33% of time to be profitable.
      Exactly. Small bets (~1/2) in spots like this (with stacks left) it's rarely a bluff. Even a 1/3 bet is mostly Ax.