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[NL20-NL50] JJ on Q high

    • mlatasrb
      Joined: 01.04.2012 Posts: 2,722
      PartyGaming - $0.25 NL FAST (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
      Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

      BTN: 193.56 BB
      SB: 134.84 BB
      BB: 103.36 BB
      UTG: 97.4 BB
      Hero (MP): 100 BB
      CO: 173.24 BB

      SB posts SB 0.4 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

      Pre Flop: (pot: 1.4 BB) Hero has J:heart: J:club:

      UTG raises to 3 BB, Hero calls 3 BB, fold, fold, fold, fold

      Flop: (7.4 BB, 2 players) 3:club: Q:diamond: 8:heart:
      UTG bets 4 BB, Hero calls 4 BB

      Turn: (15.4 BB, 2 players) 4:club:
      UTG bets 10 BB, Hero calls 10 BB

      River: (35.4 BB, 2 players) 7:club:
      UTG checks, Hero checks

      UTG shows 2:heart: 2:diamond: (One Pair, Twos) (Pre 18%, Flop 8%, Turn 5%)
      Hero shows J:heart: J:club: (One Pair, Jacks) (Pre 82%, Flop 92%, Turn 95%)
      Hero wins 33.64 BB

      2 hands on him. I dont like 3betting against unknown UTG, and if somebody light sqeezes I can 4bet. But I could 3bet because he looks fishy (stack size)

      Should I call turn? I dont see people bluff barrelling too often
  • 1 reply
    • EmanuelC16
      Joined: 02.01.2010 Posts: 13,909

      I think turn is close but I would still call.. there quite a few hands he can bet as a bluff to weigh out the Qx+ he bets for value: AK, flushdraws, 8x with clubs plus he can 'vbet' too thin with hands like good 8x, 99, TT.. He probably thought he was betting to protect 22 in this spot for example. Also keep in mind he is fishy, so his UTG range actually contains more weak stuff than broadways.

      At the same time, his bet sizing is also a bit inconsistent with anything else than a mediocre hand like QJ, QT at best IMO. Some might bet a bit on the smaller side as a standard but I think most bet bigger on the flop especially with a hand.