This site uses cookies to improve your browsing experience. By continuing to browse the website, you accept such cookies. For more details and to change your settings, see our Cookie Policy and Privacy Policy. Close

[NL20-NL50] AK vs huge flop shove

    • zumpar
      zumpar
      Bronze
      Joined: 05.02.2012 Posts: 1,185
      finally @ higher evaluation forums for the first time :P


      so... Here i had ablolutely no idea where im at otf

      on one hand i didnt see him calling 44/88 pre cause he doesnt have good implied and he looked solid

      on the other hand i cant see him shoving worse like KQ/KJ type of hand

      56hh/67hh/57hh are also unlikely call 3bet pre so i just made a crying call




      iPoker - $0.20 NL FAST (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
      Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

      Hero (BB): $42.60
      UTG: $3.76
      MP: $31.39
      CO: $25.19
      BTN: $20.18
      SB: $23.28

      SB posts SB $0.10, Hero posts BB $0.20

      Pre Flop: (pot: $0.30) Hero has A:spade: K:spade:

      UTG calls $0.20, fold, CO raises to $0.60, fold, fold, Hero raises to $2.00, UTG calls $1.80, CO calls $1.40

      Flop: ($6.10, 3 players) K:diamond: 4:heart: 8:heart:
      Hero bets $3.40, UTG calls $1.76, CO raises to $23.19, Hero calls $19.79

      Turn: ($54.24, 3 players) K:club:

      River: ($54.24, 3 players) J:club:

      Hero shows A:spade: K:spade: (Three of a Kind, Kings) (Pre 58%, Flop 52%, Turn 69%)
      UTG shows T:diamond: J:spade: (Two Pair, Kings and Jacks) (Pre 22%, Flop 3%, Turn 0%)
      CO shows K:heart: T:heart: (Three of a Kind, Kings) (Pre 21%, Flop 45%, Turn 31%)
      Hero wins $51.53
  • 1 reply
    • EmanuelC16
      EmanuelC16
      Bronze
      Joined: 02.01.2010 Posts: 13,909
      Hey,

      CO calls here pairs with those odds and a bit deep, also having position imo.

      That said, he is unliekly to have 2pair.. there are 6 set combos in my view after preflop action.

      You can probably flip a coin whether to call or not.. If you think he is unlikely to shove sets like this and it's more often a flushdraw you can call.. on average you should at least break even or make a small profit.

      This is sort of scenario I expect. The more you can discount sets or add worse Kx, the better for you:


      Board: K:diamond: 4:heart: 8:heart:
             Equity     Win     Tie
      MP2    37.05%  23.23%  13.82% { AsKs }
      MP3    62.95%  49.13%  13.82% { 88, 44, AKs, AhQh, KhQh, AhJh, KhJh, AhTh, KhTh, 7h6h, 6h5h, AKo }