[NL20-NL50] nl25 kq

    • urmo1
      Joined: 02.03.2008 Posts: 718
      209hands. 36/26 af 3.1 FLOP fold to cb (VS PFR) 31%(13) TURN fold to cbet 20%(5)

      Grabbed by Holdem Manager
      NL Holdem $0.25(BB) Replayer
      SB ($24.75)
      BB ($25.35)
      UTG ($25.92)
      UTG+1 ($25.41)
      Hero ($34.82)
      BTN ($28.24)

      Dealt to Hero Q:club: K:spade:

      fold, UTG+1 calls $0.25, Hero raises to $1, fold, fold, fold, UTG+1 calls $0.75

      FLOP ($2.35) 8:heart: K:club: 5:spade:

      UTG+1 checks, Hero bets $1.50, UTG+1 calls $1.50

      TURN ($5.35) 8:heart: K:club: 5:spade: J:heart:

      UTG+1 checks, Hero bets $3.75, UTG+1 raises to $12.50, Hero ?
  • 1 reply
    • BogdanPS
      Joined: 12.05.2010 Posts: 27,588
      Hi Urmo,

      Preflop: What do you expect a 36/26 to limp (we can also check his limp %)?

      Postflop: He seems aggro over this sample, do we know anything about him (besides stats). His raise is really massive and the value hands that he reps are 55, some 88, possibly some KJ and slowplayed monsters (AK/KK/AA).

      However a lot of these guys would play their strong hands more passive as well (like min raising for value) and this big raise doesn't make much sense. It's true that some draws came down but I doubt he'd raise 2p+ like this. Personally I'd be more scared for a min raise or even a $8-9 raise.

      Just basing my thought process on that high AF, low fold to cbet, dry board and huge raise I would go with the hand here. Of course any reads you may have can change this (for example what we have seen at showdown from him).