[NL20-NL50] NL 50 : J9s vs 18% resteal

    • dobermann123
      Joined: 08.01.2008 Posts: 730
      Poker Stars, $0.25/$0.50, $0.10 ante No Limit Hold'em Cash, 5 Players
      Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

      BB: $50 (100 bb)
      MP: $50 (100 bb)
      Hero (CO): $122.65 (245.3 bb)
      BTN: $67.30 (134.6 bb)
      SB: $50 (100 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is CO with J 9
      MP folds, Hero raises to $1.50, BTN folds, SB raises to $5, BB folds, Hero raises to $11, SB raises to $49.90 and is all-in, Hero calls $38.90

      Flop: ($100.80) 5 J 4 (2 players, 1 is all-in)
      Turn: ($100.80) K (2 players, 1 is all-in)
      River: ($100.80) 9 (2 players, 1 is all-in)

      $100.80 pot ($3 rake)
      Final Board: 5 J 4 K 9
      Hero showed J 9 and won $97.80 ($47.80 net)
      SB showed A A and lost (-$50 net)

      Okey, I know it's look funny. But still, I want to work on this case.

      Vilain is restealing hero 18% SB vs CO ( sample 39 ) and 14 overall in SB vs CO situation.
      Folding only 31% of time in blinds vs 4bet. So it's mean he is shoving 69% of time of a 14~18% range, something crazy like 11% of hand.
      Overall hand 3,9K.

      So in first time, when he did 3bet me, I just checked his resteal stat in this situation ( SB vs CO hero ) and I tried to 4bet bluff, was thinking even he don't usually fold in blind vs 4bet, maybe here where his restealing range is the highiest number he will.

      But he don't. So I was thinking there is so many bluff in his range, I almost have to call with any two card. What do you think ?

      Should I call after first mistake ?
      Should I call preflop and try to outplay postflop his very wide range with bluff ?
  • 1 reply
    • imfromsweden007
      Joined: 11.10.2008 Posts: 726

      I have a hard time seeing how we could possibly have enough equity to call it off here, even if he bluffs a lot. Many of his bluffs will even have you dominated, with hands such as A9s, AJ, JT or w/e. It seems unlikely you ever have him dominated when you call since he probably doesn't 3bet that many weak Jx or 9x combos. So I would definitely fold to the 5bet.

      4betting in the first place is probably fine though. Don't really like calling this hand 100bb deep.