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[NL20-NL50] NL 50 AJ deep 3bet sqz pot on AJQ

    • dobermann123
      Joined: 08.01.2008 Posts: 730
      Poker Stars, $0.25/$0.50 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 5 Players
      Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

      CO: $51.93 (103.9 bb)
      BTN: $50 (100 bb)
      SB: $184.69 (369.4 bb)
      Hero (BB): $123.93 (247.9 bb)
      MP: $34.69 (69.4 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is BB with A J
      MP folds, CO raises to $1.50, BTN folds, SB calls $1.25, Hero raises to $6, CO folds, SB calls $4.50

      Flop: ($13.50) A J Q (2 players)
      SB checks, Hero bets $8.45, SB raises to $19.50, Hero calls $11.05

      Turn: ($52.50) 5 (2 players)
      SB bets $25, Hero calls $25

      River: ($102.50) K (2 players)
      SB checks, Hero bets $42, SB folds

      $102.50 pot ($3 rake)
      Final Board: A J Q 5 K
      SB mucked and lost (-$50.50 net)
      Hero showed A J and won $99.50 ($49 net)

      Ok, here a tough post. Vilain SB is unknown
      VPIP : 27
      PFR : 20
      Resteal SB vs CO : 11%
      Sample : 304 hands
      AF : 2,4

      Ok, my image is enough aggressive to put me on wide range preflop in this spot.
      When I m C/R , I don't think he has any set here. I m not sure he would C/R AJ for value. So, his value range is only KT and AQ. But he would maybe have 3bet vs CO AQ.

      In the same time, I m not sure he can C/R as bluff in this spot on flop. But I think my hand is too strong to fold. So I called.

      On the turn, now he is betting half pot. I think I still have to call, with a blocker or more out If I need it.

      On the river, I was afraid to be face up on the nuts if I just shove. I Did call turn, so I could have the flush on the turn. In the same time, I wanted him to make a crying call he wouldn't have made usually. He took time before fold.
  • 2 replies
    • EmanuelC16
      Joined: 02.01.2010 Posts: 13,909
      Does he call KTo there? If not he has 4 nut combos on the flop and probably doesn't raise AQ for value there. I mean, you squeeze pre and cbet there, it's not like you have a weak continuing range vs a check/raise. Once he bets turn I think he probably has KTs but you kind of get the odds against that and maybe one random bluff combo.

      On the river you bet way too much to ever get a call. You can probably bet $10 and still make a lot of his range fold. You just never have a bluff here, it's almost impossible to get value. :)
    • dobermann123
      Joined: 08.01.2008 Posts: 730
      Yeah, I ll bet 15 or 20 next time.