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[NL20-NL50] NL25sh-AQ flopped 2 pairs vs River shove

    • urmo1
      urmo1
      Black
      Joined: 02.03.2008 Posts: 718
      Hello
      SB-Unknown
      What you think about River call?
      I think he shoves any set, two pairs, straights but why?
      Was this hand overplayed?

      Poker Stars, $0.10/$0.25 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 5 Players
      Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

      SB: $25 (100 bb)
      BB: $25.65 (102.6 bb)
      MP: $15 (60 bb)
      Hero (CO): $27.99 (112 bb)
      BTN: $23.72 (94.9 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is CO with Q A
      MP posts BB OOP, MP checks, Hero raises to $1.20, 2 folds, BB calls $0.95, MP folds

      Flop: ($2.75) Q 7 A (2 players)
      BB checks, Hero bets $1.80, BB calls $1.80

      Turn: ($6.35) 9 (2 players)
      BB checks, Hero bets $4.20, BB calls $4.20

      River: ($14.75) 8 (2 players)
      BB bets $18.45 and is all-in, Hero calls $18.45
  • 1 reply
    • EmanuelC16
      EmanuelC16
      Bronze
      Joined: 02.01.2010 Posts: 13,909
      Flop 2.10, Turn 5.25, River shove.

      He definitely plays JT like this imo. Now we need to think about sets.. and by sets I also mean could he turn or river that set.. If you assume JT, 77 and A7o, A8o, A9o play this way it's a call on pot odds but I haven't seen the overbet being sort of for thin value to get you to call AK only too often on NL25. Overall, I think it's close to a 0EV, slightly +EV spot given how your hand does against a few worse value hands and that there's the ocassional KJ spazz.

      I'm never thrilled about calling overbets donks like this when hands that make sense completed.