*Originally posted by double2*

I find it funny that people are giving importance to raise cbet turn stat. 22% of 18 ocasions means that he raised turn 4 out of 18 times. And one of those is this spot. So in reality villain raised 3 times the turn cbet in 17 chances he had. To me that means absolutely nothing.

Is it much different if villian raises 22% turn, but 400/1800 times?

Because in so big statistics, villian changes his style overtime (like I did, and many players at low limits) and he could have played before aggresive and now nitty. Some players play one day nitty, other day aggresive (which is recommended in articles), and then you can completely ignore this stat.

I would more believe to 4/18 raise stat, because it means he played like this recently and it is very likely that he still plays like that. And 4/18 raise could mean nuts each time, but what is the probability to have nuts on turn 4/18, quite low (especially if he doesnt fold much on flop).

so I would call his raise just because 4/18 stat and unloggical line. IF 0/18, I fold without thinking twice.