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[NL2-NL10] NL5 AKo

    • metza
      metza
      Bronze
      Joined: 28.01.2012 Posts: 2,220
      Full Tilt - $0.05 NL (6 max) - Holdem - 4 players
      Hand converted by PokerTracker 3

      BB: $4.83
      UTG: $5.51
      Hero (BTN): $8.54
      SB: $9.32

      SB posts SB $0.02, BB posts BB $0.05

      Pre Flop: ($0.07) Hero has K:heart: A:club:

      fold, Hero raises to $0.15, SB calls $0.13, BB calls $0.10

      Flop: ($0.45, 3 players) 9:diamond: 9:club: A:heart:
      SB checks, BB checks, Hero bets $0.30, SB calls $0.30, fold

      Turn: ($1.05, 2 players) 2:heart:
      SB checks, Hero bets $0.70, SB calls $0.70

      River: ($2.45, 2 players) 4:heart:
      SB bets $1.05, Hero calls $1.05

      SB shows T:spade: 9:spade: (Three of a Kind, Nines) (Pre 41%, Flop 91%, Turn 95%)
      Hero mucks K:heart: A:club: (Two Pair, Aces and Nines) (Pre 59%, Flop 9%, Turn 5%)
      SB wins $4.25

      41/29/62/8/50 over 101 hands. Don't expect him to be bluffing river often, I expect his hand to be 66% of the time Ax and 33% of the time 9x. If he doesn't donk the river should I be playing bet/fold?
  • 1 reply
    • BogdanPS
      BogdanPS
      Basic
      Joined: 12.05.2010 Posts: 27,588
      Hi metza,

      Preflop: looks fine

      Postflop: I'd play the hand the same way and if he checks we should bet/fold.

      His river bet can also be a block bet with a weaker pair or Ax hand and we need to be good roughly 25% of the time.