[NL2-NL10] AA on monotone board, CRY

    • Imimba1
      Imimba1
      Bronze
      Joined: 12.12.2011 Posts: 2,897
      Poker Stars $5.00 No Limit Hold'em - 5 players
      DeucesCracked Poker Videos Hand History Converter

      UTG: $5.04 - VPIP: 39, PFR: 3, 3B: 5, AF: 1,6, Hands: 173
      Hero (CO): $7.28 - VPIP: 21, PFR: 16, 3B: 4, AF: 2,0, Hands: 81929
      BTN: $8.92 - VPIP: 28, PFR: 17, 3B: 13, AF: 3,5, Hands: 92 21% cc
      SB: $5.72 - VPIP: 19, PFR: 11, 3B: 10, AF: 1,8, Hands: 115
      BB: $5.22 - VPIP: 19, PFR: 14, 3B: 0, AF: 2,0, Hands: 133

      Pre Flop: ($0.07) Hero is CO with A :heart: A :club:
      1 fold, Hero raises to $0.15, BTN calls $0.15, 1 fold, BB calls $0.10

      Flop: ($0.47) 4 :diamond: T :diamond: 5 :diamond: (3 players)
      BB checks, Hero bets $0.32, BTN raises to $1.05, BB folds, Hero?

      I expect X :diamond: x hands to only call. I expect flushes, and 54, sets to raise, maybe JJ-QQ sometimes.
      Tx may raise... but not many.
      Crying call, or crying fold?
  • 2 replies
    • BogdanPS
      BogdanPS
      Basic
      Joined: 12.05.2010 Posts: 27,588
      Hi Imimba,

      Preflop: looks fine

      Postflop: Any history with villain over these 90 hands?

      It's rare that people bluff on these boards so I would expect him to have at least some sort of draw.

      Against a range like this: TT,55-44,KdQd,KdJd,QdJd,9d8d,8d7d,7d6d,Ad3d,Ad2d,AdQh,AdQs,AdQc,AdJh,AdJs,AdJc,AdTh,AdTs,AdTc we only have 25% equity and even if we discount the nut flush combos that I added we only have 28% equity.

      So he needs to have a lot more semibluffs/bluffs or hands like Tx/JJ for us to be profitable to continue.

      Even adding JJ and KdT, QdT we only go up to 39%

      So, unfortunately, bet/folding is the way to go.
    • Imimba1
      Imimba1
      Bronze
      Joined: 12.12.2011 Posts: 2,897
      Originally posted by BogdanPS
      Hi Imimba,

      Preflop: looks fine

      Postflop: Any history with villain over these 90 hands?

      It's rare that people bluff on these boards so I would expect him to have at least some sort of draw.

      Against a range like this: TT,55-44,KdQd,KdJd,QdJd,9d8d,8d7d,7d6d,Ad3d,Ad2d,AdQh,AdQs,AdQc,AdJh,AdJs,AdJc,AdTh,AdTs,AdTc we only have 25% equity and even if we discount the nut flush combos that I added we only have 28% equity.

      So he needs to have a lot more semibluffs/bluffs or hands like Tx/JJ for us to be profitable to continue.

      Even adding JJ and KdT, QdT we only go up to 39%

      So, unfortunately, bet/folding is the way to go.
      +1