[NL20-NL50] AJs BB/CO TAG

    • vengeance77
      vengeance77
      Bronze
      Joined: 18.04.2010 Posts: 9,734
      [converted_hand][hand_history]Prima, $0.10/$0.20 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 5 Players
      Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

      Hero (BB): $21.81 (109 bb)
      MP: $28.60 (143 bb)
      CO: $24.90 (124.5 bb) ORCO 16, F3b 20/5, 4BR 6.4, CB F/T 69/60, Agg%R 29, WTSD 31
      BTN: $7.94 (39.7 bb)
      SB: $7.90 (39.5 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is BB with J:spade: A:spade:
      MP folds, CO raises to $0.80, 2 folds, Hero calls $0.60

      Flop: ($1.70) 5:heart: J:heart: 4:club: (2 players)
      Hero checks, CO bets $1.40, Hero calls $1.40

      Turn: ($4.50) 8:diamond: (2 players)
      Hero checks, CO bets $3.80, Hero calls $3.80

      River: ($12.10) Q:diamond: (2 players)
      Hero checks, CO bets $9.20, Hero ?

      [/hand_history][/converted_hand]

      Are there alternative lines? C/F River?
  • 3 replies
    • cutegoldfish
      cutegoldfish
      Bronze
      Joined: 19.11.2009 Posts: 4,335
      .
    • BogdanPS
      BogdanPS
      Basic
      Joined: 12.05.2010 Posts: 27,588
      Hi Vengeance,

      Preflop: What sample size do we have on him? ORCO of 16% is not that big. So 3-betting as a bluff or calling are fine. His range is something like this: 22+,A2s+,KTs+,QTs+,JTs,T9s,98s,87s,76s,ATo+,KQo

      Postflop: As played I think the river is a fold. Based on his bet size alone he represents an overapirs, some Jx, sets, even 67 for straight and Jx (other than JQ) doesn't bet that larger on the river.

      So his range is polarized to 2p+ or nothing. There are draws in his range that could have missed but without history I would be inclined to fold (his river aggression is very large either)

      So let's say he gets to the river with a range like this: KK-QQ,TT-99,AdAh,AdAc,AhAc,JdJc,8h8s,8h8c,8s8c,5d5s,5d5c,5s5c,4d4h,4d4s,4h4s,76s,AhKh,AhQh,KhQh,AdJd,AcJc,KdJd,KcJc,QdJd,QcJc,AhTh,KhTh,QhTh,JdTd,JcTc,Ah9h,Th9h,Tc9c,Ah8h,Ac8c,9h8h,9c8c,Ah7h,8h7h,8c7c,Ah6h,Ah4h,Ah3h,Ah2h,AdJc,AhJd,AhJc,AcJd (I think it's way too wide given his bet size but this is a best case scenario excluding bluffs with little equity)

      His distribution with that range would be:

      Straight: 6 combos, sets: 13 combos, 2p: 1 combo, Overpair: 9 combos, Qx: 3 combos

      Then middle pair (jx) 10 combos and the rest is low pockets, and missed draws (about 40% of his range).

      So it's really only profitable to call if he bets about 2/3rds of the hands that don't be us from that range.
    • vengeance77
      vengeance77
      Bronze
      Joined: 18.04.2010 Posts: 9,734
      Thanks .
      284 hands

      I folded, because of the bet size :(

      R/stackoff flop?