[NL2-NL10] ATo

    • gxtwo
      gxtwo
      Bronze
      Joined: 15.12.2010 Posts: 1,268
      Prima, $0.05/$0.10 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 5 Players
      Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

      CO: $10.88 (108.8 bb)
      BTN: $24.43 (244.3 bb)
      SB: $1.76 (17.6 bb)
      Hero (BB): $12.09 (120.9 bb)
      MP: $16.06 (160.6 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is BB with A T
      3 folds, SB completes, Hero raises to $0.40, SB calls $0.30

      Flop: ($0.80) J T K (2 players)
      SB checks, Hero checks

      Turn: ($0.80) 9 (2 players)
      SB checks, Hero checks

      River: ($0.80) T (2 players)
      SB bets $1.36, Hero????

      Is checking the flop ok here? or do we miss value from Ax, Qx and possibly 9x.

      TURN: think i should definitely bet here, he's showing so much weakness.

      RIVER: fold? he just screams Qx here.
  • 2 replies
    • BogdanPS
      BogdanPS
      Basic
      Joined: 12.05.2010 Posts: 27,588
      Hi GxTwo,

      Preflop: looks fine

      Postflop: Considering he is short he will most likely go with any hand that hits that flop (Qx, Kx, Jx, maybe even Tx) so if we bet we have to go with the hand given the pot odds we will get.

      I'm assuming we know nothing about villain? I doubt he is shoving much worse for value so it's a question of him being able to bluff or not. For us to show a profit he needs to bluff 40% of the time (4/10 hands) and I think that if he wanted to bluff he'd probably bet the turn rather than shove river. So folding is fine.
    • Dracsharp
      Dracsharp
      Bronze
      Joined: 22.01.2010 Posts: 2,478
      I like that you trying to check it down, on river we need 40% eq and if we don't know him i would let it go, i would assume if he was so eager to bluff it by pushing his stack he would have done so already.