[NL20-NL50] KJs

    • zumpar
      zumpar
      Bronze
      Joined: 05.02.2012 Posts: 1,185
      not really sure here ott, i think it might be very close, but in the 10secs iPoker speed tables offer, its impossible to calculate much

      villain is 24/22 af:4 afq:64 pretty solid, aggro reg
      cb:59 steal:46

      iPoker - $0.20 NL FAST (6 max) - Holdem - 4 players
      Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

      SB: $20.00
      BB: $26.36
      Hero (CO): $20.10
      BTN: $8.36

      SB posts SB $0.10, BB posts BB $0.20

      Pre Flop: (pot: $0.30) Hero has K:diamond: J:diamond:

      Hero raises to $0.60, fold, SB raises to $1.80, fold, Hero calls $1.20

      Flop: ($3.80, 2 players) 5:diamond: A:heart: 4:diamond:
      SB bets $2.00, Hero calls $2.00

      Turn: ($7.80, 2 players) Q:heart:
      SB checks, Hero bets $4.60, SB raises to $16.20, Hero calls $11.60

      River: ($40.20, 2 players) Q:diamond:

      SB shows 4:club: 4:spade: (Full House, Fours full of Queens) (Pre 49%, Flop 74%, Turn 77%)
      Hero mucks K:diamond: J:diamond: (Flush, King High) (Pre 51%, Flop 26%, Turn 23%)
      SB wins $38.20
  • 3 replies
    • w34z3l
      w34z3l
      Coach
      Coach
      Joined: 03.08.2009 Posts: 13,295
      Hey Zumpar,

      Unless you have reads on this guys 3betting tendencies you should probably be folding the KJs preflop. What is his 3bet stat?

      If he 3bets very wide the call is ok, but preferably he needs to 3bet 8% or more.

      Assume he does 3bet wide and the call is ok. Flop is ok. Turn bet is ok.

      As for the turn call, he needs to have a check-raising bluff range in order for this to be profitable. You need about 28% equity to make the call. If he only has value hands (which is completely possible) you do not have the required equity. But it's very close.
    • zumpar
      zumpar
      Bronze
      Joined: 05.02.2012 Posts: 1,185
      his 3b% is 12% over ~350 hands, im assuming even more now, since we are 4handed
    • w34z3l
      w34z3l
      Coach
      Coach
      Joined: 03.08.2009 Posts: 13,295
      Ok, pf call is fine. Turn call is very close, possibly slightly losing if he never bluffs.