[NL2-NL10] [NL5 SH] KQs vs 3B IP

    • Th334
      Th334
      Bronze
      Joined: 26.11.2012 Posts: 971
      Poker Stars $5.00 No Limit Hold'em - 4 players - View hand 2060613
      DeucesCracked Poker Videos Hand History Converter

      Hero (CO): $5.14 - VPIP: 23, PFR: 19, 3B: 8, AF: 4.1, Hands: 19117
      BTN: $4.88 - VPIP: 17, PFR: 13, 3B: 5, AF: 5.0, Hands: 133
      SB: $5.93 - VPIP: 12, PFR: 10, 3B: 0, AF: 0.5, Hands: 42
      BB: $5.20 - VPIP: 21, PFR: 18, 3B: 20(15), AF: 4.5, Hands: 61 -- CBF: 100, CBT: 100

      Pre Flop: ($0.07) Hero is CO with K :club: Q :club:
      Hero raises to $0.15, 2 folds, BB raises to $0.50, Hero calls $0.35

      Flop: ($1.02) 4 :diamond: J :spade: Q :spade: (2 players)
      BB bets $0.64, Hero calls $0.64

      Turn: ($2.30) 2 :club: (2 players)
      BB bets $1.45, Hero raises to $4, BB folds

      On the turn I'm not ready to fold my TP considering his stats, and if we play it, we stack anyway, so I go raise-shove. There're quite a few draws possible, so I assume I'll see a draw or AJ more often than AQ here.
  • 4 replies
    • mbml
      mbml
      Black
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,698
      Hi.

      I'm just calling the Turn again. If we expect him to shut down river a lot, we can just call Turn and fold River even on blanks.

      Basically you are overestimating how wide his range is here IMO. And raising here doesn't serve too much purpose besides protection - He rarely calls worse and always calls better.
    • Th334
      Th334
      Bronze
      Joined: 26.11.2012 Posts: 971
      True, again, I overestimated my medium strength hand. So I'm isolating myself against stronger, which is a waste.

      What about river though...if I call the turn, the pot would be $5.20 and I would have $3.55 left. So I need to be ahead 29% of the time to break even. Can I really fold?
    • mbml
      mbml
      Black
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,698
      It's basically based on villain's frequencies. I just think most players at these stakes shut down on the River but there are definitely many players who you should always call against.
    • Th334
      Th334
      Bronze
      Joined: 26.11.2012 Posts: 971
      Originally posted by mbml
      It's basically based on villain's frequencies. I just think most players at these stakes shut down on the River but there are definitely many players who you should always call against.
      True, if I almost never fire 3 barrels, than neither does passive fish at my limits.

      Thanks a lot mbml, I feel like I just busted a very simple yet costly leak of mine! :f_pleased: