[NL20-NL50] [Sh] Nl25 22

    • dannywratten
      dannywratten
      Gold
      Joined: 11.05.2010 Posts: 1,462
      UTG 21/18/2.0/3.8/29/465hands
      flop cbet 45%

      Seems like fairly solid TAG
      Nitty river fold?
      Couldn't really see anything but sets in his range.
      Didn't think he would play overpairs this way.

      Not really a board I would triple as a bluff on either.
      Are you ever checking back river? Or is there too much value?




      SB: $29.21 (116.8 bb)
      BB: $10.72 (42.9 bb)
      UTG: $28.82 (115.3 bb)
      MP: $27.79 (111.2 bb)
      CO: $10.89 (43.6 bb)
      Hero (BTN): $26.24 (105 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is BTN with 2 2
      UTG raises to $0.75, 2 folds, Hero calls $0.75, 2 folds

      Flop: ($1.85) Q 2 4 (2 players)
      UTG checks, Hero bets $1.20, UTG calls $1.20

      Turn: ($4.25) T (2 players)
      UTG checks, Hero bets $2.90, UTG calls $2.90

      River: ($10.05) 3 (2 players)
      UTG checks, Hero bets $5.30, UTG raises to $23.97 and is all-in, Hero folds

      Results:
      $20.65 pot ($1.03 rake)
      Final Board: Q 2 4 T 3
      UTG mucked and won $19.62 ($9.47 net)
      Hero mucked 2 2 and lost (-$10.15 net)
  • 3 replies
    • mbml
      mbml
      Black
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,694
      hi

      "Are you ever checking back river? Or is there too much value?"

      this is results-oriented thinking. No way am I ever not 3barreling sets.

      As played he represents QQ the hardest. I would bet larger on River. as played I don't mind your fold here. I think he hardly bluffs with this line and usually has QQ, rarely 44. Then again he represents such a narrow value range of 6 combos of sets. You get like ~30% pot odds so you need to beat 3 combos of air.

      I think with 44 we should call for sure. I don't really like advocating hero-folds especially with the top of your range but in this case I think it could be fine. I just wonder if you induced any bluffs with your halfpot. Most importantly when you have bottom set, you block that from his range.
    • dannywratten
      dannywratten
      Gold
      Joined: 11.05.2010 Posts: 1,462
      Thanks! :)
      Reason for half potting river was that I didn't think he could c/call three streets with Qx or worse unless I bet smaller to widen his calling range.
      Does that make sense? Or should I just bet like ~$7 or so?

      I felt if I bet that big he just folds almost always.
    • mbml
      mbml
      Black
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,694
      hi

      just bet larger. i still think he could call a larger bet.