[NL20-NL50] AJ against fish

    • mlatasrb
      Joined: 01.04.2012 Posts: 2,722
      PartyGaming - $0.25 NL FAST (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
      Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

      BTN: 155.68 BB
      Hero (SB): 227.2 BB
      BB: 138.28 BB
      UTG: 56.76 BB
      MP: 189.96 BB
      CO: 100 BB

      Hero posts SB 0.4 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

      Pre Flop: (pot: 1.4 BB) Hero has J:heart: A:club:

      fold, MP calls 1 BB, fold, fold, Hero raises to 5 BB, fold, MP calls 4 BB

      Flop: (11 BB, 2 players) 2:diamond: K:club: K:diamond:
      Hero bets 7 BB, MP calls 7 BB

      Turn: (25 BB, 2 players) J:club:
      Hero checks, MP bets 23.76 BB, Hero calls 23.76 BB

      River: (72.52 BB, 2 players) J:spade:
      Hero checks, MP bets 68.92 BB, Hero calls 68.92 BB

      MP shows J:diamond: K:spade: (Full House, Kings full of Jacks) (Pre 26%, Flop 98%, Turn 100%)
      Hero mucks J:heart: A:club: (Full House, Jacks full of Kings) (Pre 74%, Flop 2%, Turn 0%)
      MP wins 199.88 BB

      900 hands, VPiP 28, PFR 0. FCB 52%. He is known big fish.

      Is my check call turn ok? River probably very bad call, but I think his bet size is often a bluff fd. I win also against QQ, AA here, which he might have and overplay (but not often).
  • 1 reply
    • mbml
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,779

      To c/c turn profitably you need villain to
      1) have many Ace high floats which are turned into a bluff
      2) have many pocketpairs which are turned into a bluff
      3) have a good amount of flush draws which bluff the Turn

      I think Turn c/c is reasonable, having the King paired makes it less likely for him to have it. But I think a fish is really likely to shut down on the River, assuming that fishes have no balls to pull off big bluffs.

      So, c/c Turn c/f River