[NL2-NL10] Nl2 Fr Aq

    • JCSeerup
      JCSeerup
      Bronze
      Joined: 14.12.2010 Posts: 1,039
      No Limit Hold'em $0,01/$0,02
      PokerStars
      8 players
      Formatted by pokercopilot.com - Mac OS X hand history analysis and tracking

      Stacks:
      UTG - UTG ($2,08)
      UTG+1 - UTG+1 ($2,00)
      MP - MP ($2,22)
      MP2 - MP2 ($2,10)
      CO - CO ($0,77)
      BTN - BTN ($1,29)
      SB - Hero ($10,11)
      BB - BB ($0,81)

      Preflop: ($0,03, 8 players) Hero is SB with A:club: Q:heart:
      4 folds, CO calls $0,02, BTN calls $0,02, Hero raises to $0,12, 1 fold, CO raises to $0,77 (all-in), 1 fold, Hero???

      Opponent is 37 VPIP, 9 PFR, limp-shoveing is rarely a bluff IMO, but against a shortstacked weak player shouldn't this be a call?
  • 1 reply
    • BogdanPS
      BogdanPS
      Basic
      Joined: 12.05.2010 Posts: 27,588
      Hi JCSeerup,

      We need 43% equity.

      Equity Win Tie
      MP2 28.15% 27.02% 1.14% AcQh
      MP3 71.85% 70.71% 1.14% JJ+, AKs, AKo

      Equity Win Tie
      MP2 36.60% 26.74% 9.86% AcQh
      MP3 63.40% 53.54% 9.86% TT+, AJs+, AQo+

      Equity Win Tie
      MP2 46.58% 40.96% 5.62% AcQh
      MP3 53.42% 47.80% 5.62% 77+, ATs+, KJs+, QJs, AQo+, KQo


      So you can see he needs to shove really wide for us to be able to show profit.