[NL2-NL10] [NL5 SH] QQ IP vs. possible nit

    • Th334
      Th334
      Bronze
      Joined: 26.11.2012 Posts: 971
      Poker Stars $5.00 No Limit Hold'em - 6 players - View hand 2062219
      DeucesCracked Poker Videos Hand History Converter

      UTG: $7.12 - VPIP: 21, PFR: 15, 3B: 10, AF: 3.5, Hands: 99
      MP: $5.85 - VPIP: 10, PFR: 9, 3B: 5, AF: 0.0, Hands: 58
      Hero (CO): $5.49 - VPIP: 23, PFR: 19, 3B: 8, AF: 4.0, Hands: 19547
      BTN: $2.16 - VPIP: 29, PFR: 24, 3B: 7, AF: 0.0, Hands: 41
      SB: $7.13 - VPIP: 20, PFR: 18, 3B: 6, AF: 1.0, Hands: 93
      BB: $5.00 - VPIP: 18, PFR: 18, 3B: 2, AF: 0.0, Hands: 113

      Pre Flop: ($0.07) Hero is CO with Q :spade: Q :heart:
      1 fold, MP raises to $0.20, Hero calls $0.20, 3 folds

      Flop: ($0.47) 3 :heart: 2 :heart: 5 :club: (2 players)
      MP bets $0.45, Hero calls $0.45

      Turn: ($1.37) 8 :diamond: (2 players)
      MP bets $1.30, Hero folds

      The sample size sucks, but the guy looks nitty.

      Is it the best way to play this hand? Maybe I'm ahead of TT-JJ, but I don't want to find it out in a price of my stack.
  • 3 replies
    • mbml
      mbml
      Black
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,694
      Hi.

      Preflop flat is fine vs a nit. I think you should call down. Your QQ is so massively underrepresented here. We just have to pay him off if the board doesn't run out bad. He can easily run a multibarrel bluff with a hand like AQ or AK here with the 2 overs and a gutshot
    • Th334
      Th334
      Bronze
      Joined: 26.11.2012 Posts: 971
      I was freaked out by his bet-sizing.

      Do you think jacks (or a bluff) will pot it here one street after another?
    • mbml
      mbml
      Black
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,694
      Maybe, but less likely.

      I agree he looks strong but remember that he is trying to fold out your TT 99 JJ type of hands and rep sets and overpairs. You have QQ (which makes it very unlikely for him to have it). You are at the top of your range, and I think it doesn't matter too much whether he plays JJ like that.

      As I did mention, he can have so many AX bluffs in his range that I think we have to call down most rivers besides an A and 4. A King would be kind of tough, and so would a heart.