[NL2-NL10] 4NL - TT vs. OOP Small 3-Bet

    • Raknyo
      Joined: 15.12.2011 Posts: 422
      IPoker Network $4.00 No Limit Hold'em - 4 players - View hand 2062223
      DeucesCracked Poker Videos Hand History Converter

      BTN: $8.00 - VPIP: 0, PFR: 0, 3B: 0, AF: 0.0, Hands: 41
      SB: $7.56 - VPIP: 33, PFR: 17, 3B: 20, AF: 3.0, Hands: 18
      BB: $10.26 - VPIP: 28, PFR: 23, 3B: 0, AF: 2.7, Hands: 53
      Hero (CO): $4.14 - VPIP: 28, PFR: 24, 3B: 6, AF: 4.6, Hands: 189

      Pre Flop: ($0.06) Hero is CO with T :club: T :spade:
      Hero raises to $0.16, 1 fold, SB raises to $0.40, 1 fold, Hero calls $0.24

      Not sure what to make of this since it looks slightly weak, if I had to estimate a range then it would be {JJ+, AQo+, AJs+, (99-TT, AJo)}.

             Equity     Win     Tie
      MP2    58.95%  58.75%   0.20% { JJ+, AJs+, AQo+ }
      MP3    41.05%  40.85%   0.20% { TT }

      I'm getting odds of 24:60, so I would need an equity of at least 28% or 40%?

      Either way, I think with my position that I can call profitably.

      Flop: ($0.84) K :heart: 6 :spade: T :diamond: (2 players)
      SB checks, Hero bets $0.32, SB calls $0.32

      His check looks like he is scared of K, so I bet small to entice AQ, AJ, QQ, JJ and maybe ATs.

      Turn: ($1.48) Q :heart: (2 players)
      SB checks, Hero bets $0.44, SB calls $0.44

      He continues to show no strength, I bet for same reasons as flop.

      River: ($2.36) 7 :spade: (2 players)
      SB bets $1.20, Hero calls $1.20

      Now he shows aggression, unsure what to make of this. Definitely don't feel confident enough to raise so it was call or fold. Since I hold such a strong hand, I opt for a call.

      PS: Let me know if this way is too messy and I'll post my thought underneath next time.
  • 1 reply
    • mbml
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,779

      When your equity is 40% I Think it's really standard to call vs a normal bet size. His bet size is kind of on the small side and you are being offered 24/84 = 28.5%. This is a snapcall preflop.

      Anyway we have some sort of showdown value with TT vs stuff like AQ and AK on low boards. We are also kind of set-mining vs overpairs. We can play for stacks if we hit and play more cautiously if we miss.

      I don't like your small flop bet. I bet larger on all streets and prepare to play for stacks. Now the river line confuses me a little, maybe he plays QQ and KK like that (QQ checks flop for pot control, KK checks flop to slowplay). But given that he seems kind of a fish, I think he can very easily play KQ or AA or some random hands this way too. I think overall we are ahead of his range and we should just shove for value.