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[NL20-NL50] sqeeze straight

    • mlatasrb
      Joined: 01.04.2012 Posts: 2,730
      PartyGaming - $0.25 NL FAST (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
      Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

      BTN: 95.2 BB
      SB: 96.56 BB
      Hero (BB): 334.52 BB
      UTG: 108.16 BB
      MP: 84.88 BB
      CO: 100 BB

      SB posts SB 0.4 BB, Hero posts BB 1 BB

      Pre Flop: (pot: 1.4 BB) Hero has K:spade: T:heart:

      fold, fold, fold, BTN raises to 3 BB, SB calls 2.6 BB, Hero raises to 14 BB, BTN calls 11 BB, fold

      Flop: (31 BB, 2 players) J:spade: A:club: Q:heart:
      Hero bets 14.72 BB, BTN calls 14.72 BB

      Turn: (60.44 BB, 2 players) 5:spade:
      Hero bets 23 BB, BTN calls 23 BB

      River: (106.44 BB, 2 players) 5:diamond:
      Hero bets 50.56 BB, BTN calls 43.48 BB and is all-in

      Hero shows K:spade: T:heart: (Straight, Ace High) (Pre 41%, Flop 93%, Turn 100%)
      BTN mucks 8:heart: A:heart: (Two Pair, Aces and Fives) (Pre 59%, Flop 7%, Turn 0%)
      Hero wins 0 BB
      Hero wins 183.76 BB

      74 hands, VPiP 38, PFR 25 3bet 14, FCB67.

      Preflop very light, but people fold often in this situation.

      Is my river bet ok? I was afraid a bit from fullhause because people mostly call sqeeze with PP, so he could do it with AA, QQ, JJ, but also he could have any Ax, two pairs. or top pair and a draw. His VPiP is high, so enough to say he is fish so I can bet river?
  • 1 reply
    • EmanuelC16
      Joined: 02.01.2010 Posts: 13,909

      AA and QQ 4bet pre. JJ raises flop or turn sometimes. There are 3 combos that beat you on the river if all slowplay. If we say JJ slowplays 50% of the time, there are 1.5 combos that beat you. It's obvious the FH possibility is not a worry for you, it's just a worry for getting value from villain imo. The fact that A2 splits with AJ now is good though, so easy value shove.