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[NL2-NL10] 3bet pot vs bad lag

    • riskcore
      Joined: 07.07.2011 Posts: 81
      Prima, $0.05/$0.10 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
      Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

      MP: $2.50 (25 bb)
      CO: $12.33 (123.3 bb)
      BTN: $11.75 (117.5 bb)
      SB: $1.93 (19.3 bb)
      Hero (BB): $10 (100 bb)
      UTG: $1.78 (17.8 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is BB with A A
      3 folds, BTN raises to $0.50, SB folds, Hero raises to $1.75, BTN calls $1.25

      Flop: ($3.55) T 9 Q (2 players)
      Hero bets $2.30, BTN calls $2.30

      Turn: ($8.15) Q (2 players)
      Hero checks, BTN bets $2.05, Hero raises to $5.95 and is all-in, BTN folds

      $12.25 pot ($0.55 rake)
      Final Board: T 9 Q Q
      BTN mucked and lost (-$6.10 net)
      Hero mucked A A and won $11.70 ($5.60 net)

      opponent was 40/11 with 45% AG 50% FCB over 123 hands
      I have a bet seizing tell that he bets big with his stronger hands and smaller with weaker hands, I knew he wouldnt fold to 3bet, i put him on a range of 99+ KQ+, preflop got some blockers to Ax
      got horribly lost on the turn
  • 2 replies
    • mbml
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,779

      turn is def a check since I don't think we can value bet. I'm probably checking with the intention of calling as we only need to win ~6/20 = 30% of the time which I think we definitely have 30% equity vs BTN's betting range.

      When he bets so small, given your read and the fact that the board is so draw heavy + pot is already so huge, I like your line.

      In general when the pot is big, protection becomes more important than pot control and protecting your stack. Imagine if we did call and river brings some ugly card like the King or Jack and we have super sick odds, that would be terrible.
    • kymupa
      Joined: 22.10.2009 Posts: 22,364

      I do agree with mbml here overall.

      Preflop is definitely a 3bet and given your read you could even go for $2.

      On the flop I like your bet.

      Turn card definitely sucks here.
      I think if you don't expect him to call Jx/Tx hands here I'd check here as well and plan to fold if he shoves, according to our read.
      When he bets like this I agree that we have to shove here since it will be unlikely for him to have a better hand, and there are quite a few draws out there.