[NL2-NL10] AT against river donk...

    • yaxkukmian
      yaxkukmian
      Bronze
      Joined: 24.12.2007 Posts: 2,020
      after 200 hands he's 22/17 reg.

      His c/c on 2 streets can't necessary mean super strength. When he donks super strong on the river is that any time a bluff? I almost insta called without thinking too much... QT, QJ, J9...he's not betting any Tx hand here so I think we have to fold. He will defend T8 and 5x hand at least on the turn so he must have hit his Q somehow.

      Grabbed by Holdem Manager
      NL Holdem $0.05(BB) Replayer
      SB ($4.55)
      BB ($5.17)
      Hero ($5.34)
      UTG+1 ($13.32)
      CO ($4.17)
      BTN ($5)

      Dealt to Hero T:heart: A:club:

      Hero raises to $0.17, fold, fold, fold, fold, BB calls $0.12

      FLOP ($0.36) 5:heart: T:diamond: 8:club:

      BB checks, Hero bets $0.25, BB calls $0.25

      TURN ($0.86) 5:heart: T:diamond: 8:club: 5:diamond:

      BB checks, Hero bets $0.61, BB calls $0.61

      RIVER ($2.08) 5:heart: T:diamond: 8:club: 5:diamond: Q:spade:

      BB bets $1.56, Hero calls $1.56

      BB shows J:diamond: 9:diamond:
      (Pre 42%, Flop 44.9%, Turn 40.9%)

      Hero shows T:heart: A:club:
      (Pre 58%, Flop 55.1%, Turn 59.1%)

      BB wins $4.94
  • 1 reply
    • BogdanPS
      BogdanPS
      Basic
      Joined: 12.05.2010 Posts: 27,588
      Hi Yax,

      Preflop: looks fine

      Postflop: Flop and turn look fine although and I would highly consider a river fold.

      I wouldn't assign J9s to his range (like he shows up with) but he can have some slowplays (55, TT, 88, T8, 5x) and also hands like QT. I can see him betting all of those hands out because he is afraid we would check back often on this high card.

      We can also discount bluffs often because it's hard to imagine many hands that can call flop/turn to bluff river (except maybe some 67s) but people rarely take this line as a bluff at the lower limits.