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[NL2-NL10] T7s river spot

    • gxtwo
      Joined: 15.12.2010 Posts: 1,268
      ***** Hand History for Game 1111111111 ***** (Prima)
      €10.00 EUR NL Texas Hold'em - Tuesday, January 15, 11:14:31 ET 2013
      Table Trafalgar 2 (Real Money)
      Seat 3 is the button
      Seat 2: Player2 ( €8.97 EUR ) - VPIP: 79, PFR: 12, 3B: 0, AF: 6.0, Hands: 34
      Seat 3: Player3 ( €10.00 EUR ) - VPIP: 23, PFR: 23, 3B: 0, AF: 2.7, Hands: 61
      Seat 4: Player4 ( €10.00 EUR ) - VPIP: 15, PFR: 10, 3B: 4, AF: 1.6, Hands: 1515
      Seat 5: Hero ( €10.00 EUR ) - VPIP: 24, PFR: 20, 3B: 7, AF: 3.1, Hands: 78224

      Prima, $0.05/$0.10 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 4 Players
      Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

      CO: $8.97 (89.7 bb)
      BTN: $10 (100 bb)
      SB: $10 (100 bb)
      Hero (BB): $10 (100 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is BB with T 7
      CO calls $0.10, BTN folds, SB completes, Hero checks

      Flop: ($0.30) T 3 6 (3 players)
      SB checks, Hero bets $0.20, CO folds, SB calls $0.20

      Turn: ($0.70) 2 (2 players)
      SB checks, Hero checks

      River: ($0.70) 9 (2 players)
      SB bets $0.50, Hero raises to $1.75, SB raises to $9.70 and is all-in, Hero calls $7.95 and is all-in

      FLOP: is betting here ok? TP in a limped pot, were betting to take down the pot here. and also get value from weaker limped PPs, 6x and SDs

      TURN: pickup BDFD but im not sure if I should bet here, we still get called by SDs but think we value ourselves v stronger Tx

      RIVER: well.... first thought, he could be stealing but his bet sizing looks like value.

      Since he completes SB im not sure what his range is, mostly speculative hands i think. PPs, connectors and SCs.

      when he calls the flop, i think he has SDs, mid PPs, and sets that are trying to let our ranges catch up.

      checking turn, doesnt really change much of his range. 45 completes and could have been looking for a x/r same goes for sets.

      78 also completes on the river. I raise his bet for value as i think i get looked up by his straights and sets. maybe even Tx.

      Wasn't sure what to do when he ships it.... thought he could be doing it with 45,78 and sets......

      sorry for the tl;dr but like you to see my thought process and see if its correct.
  • 3 replies
    • kymupa
      Joined: 22.10.2009 Posts: 22,364

      Preflop is fine.

      Betting on the flop is close since there aren't too many worse hands that could call.

      As played, I think checking back the turn is fine. We have position and it's hard for worse hands to call, so I prefer to keep the pot smaller.

      On the river raising for value is definitely fine.
      When he ships here it's interesting since I really don't see many flushes in his range unless he calls something like Ah8h on the flop.
      87 also is unlikely but I think it's more likely to have 87 rather than Ah8h.
      So to me his range is something like Ah6h/8h6h/6h5h/6h4h/45s and probably some 87 or overplayed T9.
      Overall, I think we have to call here.

    • gxtwo
      Joined: 15.12.2010 Posts: 1,268
      thanks kymupa,

      yeah, i think he would be more inclined to try take the dead money preflop with Axs. and i think his completing range has way more speculative hands.

      I didn't think of him having combo draws on the turn :D

      but now i think of it, when the river completes the flush and straights. we are ahead of all his completed draws.
    • kymupa
      Joined: 22.10.2009 Posts: 22,364

      You are most probably ahead here so call + note and go to the next hand.