[NL2-NL10] NL10 SH UTG AK vs 3bet MP?

    • skullqueen
      skullqueen
      Bronze
      Joined: 10.11.2008 Posts: 237
      Hand converted with online PokerStrategy.com hand converter:

      Reproduzir mão

      $0.05/$0.1 No-Limit Hold'em (4 handed)

      Known players:
      SB:
      $10.00
      BB:
      $17.71
      MP3 (Hero):
      $10.15
      CO:
      $15.32
      BU:
      $10.00


      Preflop: Hero is MP3 with K, A.
      Hero raises to $0.30, CO raises to $0.90.

      Final Pot: $1.35.

      Villain: 13k hands, VPIP 25, PFR 21, AF 3,6 (flop 5.6, turn 2.5, river 1.1 ), 3bet 9% (vs open UTG 7%), cbet 3bet pot flop 96%, turn 47%, WTSD 25%, WWSF 44%. No dinamics.

      What should i do? Call or 4bet/call?
  • 3 replies
    • w34z3l
      w34z3l
      Coach
      Coach
      Joined: 03.08.2009 Posts: 13,295
      Usually it is ok to fold AKo in this position.

      However....looking at villain's stats. They are very typical of an opponent who is not positionally aware and 3betting the same depolarized value range from every position.

      Given you are OOP, 4bet/call works here. Just remember though, it's not standard, and I only recommend this play because of the guys stats. Given his ultra high cbet in 3bet pots you could consider calling also, maybe check/jam any flop (unless you hit) as an alternative way to get the money in.
    • skullqueen
      skullqueen
      Bronze
      Joined: 10.11.2008 Posts: 237
      Hand converted with online PokerStrategy.com hand converter:

      Reproduzir mão

      $0.05/$0.1 No-Limit Hold'em (6 handed)

      Known players:
      SB:
      $10.00
      BB:
      $17.71
      MP2 (Hero):
      $10.15
      MP3:
      $15.32
      CO:
      $10.00
      BU:
      $10.00


      Preflop: Hero is MP2 with K, A.
      Hero raises to $0.30, MP3 raises to $0.90, 4 folds, Hero raises to $2.10, MP3 calls $1.20.

      Flop: ($4.35) 9, 4, 3 (2 players)


      Final Pot: $4.35.


      Fold to 4bet 35% (62h)
      And now what?
    • w34z3l
      w34z3l
      Coach
      Coach
      Joined: 03.08.2009 Posts: 13,295
      Hey skullqueen,

      Before I answer let's evaluate how things stand. Villain possibly 3bets 8% or so and is unaware of position. My assumption is this is purely a value range ----> it's very typical that players who are 3betting the same % of hands from every position are doing it with a pure value range. 8% looks like TT+, ATs+, KJs+, QJs, AJo+, KQo.

      Ft4bet stat isn't overly useful with the sample size given but it does show he is capable of folding some hands to a 4bet. Maybe not that many though. Let's knock some hands from the bottom of his range and let's assume he will shove AA/KK. That leaves us with QQ-JJ, AJs+, KQs, AQo+, KQo.

      So, in terms of combinations (taking into account card removal)

      12 combinations have us beat QQ,JJ
      9 combinations we chop with AKo,AKs
      27 combinations we beat AQs,AQo,KQs,KQo,AJs

      I would be very reluctant to give up at any point postflop. However playing aggressively does not necessarily make sense because our opponent may fold all the hands in the 3rd category. Best option is to check/call down unless you felt your opponent would only bet overpairs on the flop. Check/shove is also an option especially if you think he might feel priced in with any hands in the 3rd category after he has bet the flop.