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[NL2-NL10] 3bet bluff induce with tpnk vs tag

    • riskcore
      Joined: 07.07.2011 Posts: 81
      Prima, $0.05/$0.10 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 5 Players
      Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

      SB: $10 (100 bb)
      Hero (BB): $13.36 (133.6 bb)
      MP: $9.20 (92 bb)
      CO: $5.16 (51.6 bb)
      BTN: $14.47 (144.7 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is BB with 2 K
      2 folds, BTN raises to $0.30, SB folds, Hero raises to $1.10, BTN calls $0.80

      Flop: ($2.25) 8 K 3 (2 players)
      Hero checks, BTN bets $1.60, Hero calls $1.60

      Turn: ($5.45) 7 (2 players)
      Hero checks, BTN bets $3.50, Hero calls $3.50

      River: ($12.45) 6 (2 players)
      Hero checks, BTN bets $8.27, Hero folds

      $12.45 pot ($0.62 rake)
      Final Board: 8 K 3 7 6
      Hero mucked 2 K and lost (-$6.20 net)
      BTN mucked and won $11.83 ($5.63 net)

      opponent was a competent vpip20/ pfr 21 tag opponent, 58%button raise, 50% f3b(4 sample) 50% fold to cbet, 32%AG, 30%WTSD over 142 hand sample

      After calling the 3bet, I put him on mostly middle pairs and broadways, possibly some suited connectors, I decided that it would be hard to get value from worse, had a plan of checkcalling 2 streets and folding to a river bet. (I thought he could possibly bluff 2 streets after checking, but dont have solid enough read

      is this plan ok?? do i need better reads to be able to pull this move of?
      would a standard cbet been better?
  • 2 replies
    • mbml
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,779

      Form a plan and stick to it once you check.

      Is that plan good in the first place? I think it is reasonable - My assumption here is that the average NL10 player has no balls to 3 barrel bluff here so I think c/c twice and folding river seems like a reasonable play.

      Maybe you might need better reads to play this spot but I think my basic assumption here about the average player should be reasonable enough - We do know his VPIP PFR and that kind of indicates that he is a TAG (which are less likely to 3barrel than LAGs)
    • riskcore
      Joined: 07.07.2011 Posts: 81
      thx again! advice much appreciated
      just wondering I would probably fold my entire range to a reasonable river bet, should is there a need to balance with my Ak/sets against better opponents?