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[NL2-NL10] AsKs all in preflop

    • Festfingre
      Joined: 19.07.2011 Posts: 70
      Poker Stars, $0.05/$0.10 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
      Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

      MP: $20.83 (208.3 bb)
      Hero (CO): $17.62 (176.2 bb)
      BTN: $6.28 (62.8 bb)
      SB: $10 (100 bb)
      BB: $10 (100 bb)
      UTG: $10 (100 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is CO with A K
      2 folds, Hero raises to $0.25, BTN folds, SB raises to $1, BB folds, Hero raises to $2.70, SB raises to $10 and is all-in, Hero calls $7.30

      Flop: ($20.10) 5 A 4 (2 players, 1 is all-in)
      Turn: ($20.10) A (2 players, 1 is all-in)
      River: ($20.10) 8 (2 players, 1 is all-in)

      $20.10 pot ($0.90 rake)
      Final Board: 5 A 4 A 8
      Hero showed A K and won $19.20 ($9.20 net)
      SB showed K K and lost (-$10 net)

      Game is NL10, 6 max on pokerstars.

      HM2 says this play is -EV, and i'm sure it is.

      But not knowing he has KK, would you fold every time?

      Hands: 48
      VPiP: 13
      PFR: 10
      3bet: 5,3
      4bet: -
  • 2 replies
    • BogdanPS
      Joined: 12.05.2010 Posts: 27,588
      Hi Festfingre,

      Preflop: The sample is not huge so I wouldn't expect him to be a huge nit (just yet).

      We are in steal/re-steal positions so AKs is a value 4-bet meaning that I expect to:

      A) take the pot down with our 4-bet often
      B) when he shoves I have enough equity to call. I expect his range to be QQ+, AK at the very least (for stacking off preflop).

      This should only really be a fold if we have concrete information that tells us that villain only stacks off with AA/KK but that's really hard to come by (the info).

      Just because your call is minus EV versus KK you have to look at how our hand does versus his overall range because that's what you are fighting.
    • Festfingre
      Joined: 19.07.2011 Posts: 70
      Thanks, exactly the answer i wanted.