[NL2-NL10] QJ gambling...

    • yaxkukmian
      yaxkukmian
      Bronze
      Joined: 24.12.2007 Posts: 2,020
      no hud, speed.

      Grabbed by Holdem Manager
      NL Holdem $0.10(BB) Replayer
      SB ($8.99)
      Hero ($10)
      UTG ($8.09)
      UTG+1 ($5)
      CO ($9.30)
      BTN ($13.55)

      Dealt to Hero 9:spade: Q:spade:

      fold, fold, fold, fold, SB calls $0.05, Hero raises to $0.40, SB raises to $1.30, Hero calls $0.90

      FLOP ($2.60) K:diamond: K:spade: T:spade:

      SB bets $7.69 (AI), Hero calls $7.69

      TURN ($17.98) K:diamond: K:spade: T:spade: 4:club:

      RIVER ($17.98) K:diamond: K:spade: T:spade: 4:club: J:heart:

      Hero shows 9:spade: Q:spade:
      (Pre 48%, Flop 63.3%, Turn 45.5%)

      SB shows 8:club: 8:heart:
      (Pre 52%, Flop 36.7%, Turn 54.5%)

      Hero wins $16.79


      His action is really weird. Only hand he could do it is some Tx but I still see him vbetting AT. He might do it with AQ, AJ or some FD. I took my time and called him because his line didn't make any sense. I put him on random T9, JT hand.

      Analzing now I gave him this range:
      Equity Win Tie
      SB 53.10% 50.93% 2.18% QJs, JTs, T9s, AsJs, QJo, JTo, T9o, AsQd, AsQh, AsQc
      BB 46.90% 44.72% 2.18% Qs9s

      QJ seems a bit loose so he probably doesn't do it with that. Can't exactly put him on any good range. Any suggestions?
  • 1 reply
    • kymupa
      kymupa
      Bronze
      Joined: 22.10.2009 Posts: 22,364
      Hello,

      Preflop raising is fine but once he 3bets I prefer folding.

      Flop is close and I would actually prefer folding here.
      As you can see you are not doing great even against this range and he could has hands like Kx or some Asxs.

      Best,
      Plamen