[NL20-NL50] AQo squeeze vs UTG+SB

    • PoincaresConjecture
      Joined: 09.10.2011 Posts: 115
      PokerStars - $0.50 NL (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
      Hand converted by PokerTracker 3

      MP: $20.00
      CO: $35.00
      BTN: $24.28
      SB: $49.35
      Hero (BB): $52.25
      UTG: $56.61

      SB posts SB $0.25, Hero posts BB $0.50

      Pre Flop: ($0.75) Hero has Q:club: A:heart:

      UTG raises to $1.50, fold, fold, fold, SB calls $1.25, Hero raises to $6.00, UTG calls $4.50, fold

      Flop: ($13.50, 2 players) A:club: 3:spade: 6:diamond:
      Hero bets $6.00, UTG calls $6.00

      Turn: ($25.50, 2 players) T:spade:
      Hero checks, UTG bets $12.26, fold

      UTG seemed like little loose reg (27/24/FT3b 67%) but small sample, SB was 60/50/FT3b 30% fish. Reg should know my range is only value like TT+, AQo+. is he betting turn (and calling pre w AJ)? kinda lost in that hand.

      best regards
  • 1 reply
    • EmanuelC16
      Joined: 02.01.2010 Posts: 13,897

      How much value do you have vs the reg when you 3bet and get a call? Think about that and then build postflop on that. If you think your TP is sort of marginal since he doesn't have many worse Ax, maybe just AJs, AQ, ATs, A9s, A8s or so usually AQ and some AK, JJ, TT then you can't really say you have a super clear value bet. You are indeed ahead but not many combos of worse hands call you so your hand might be worth just 2 streets of value. Then I'd decide between checking the flop is he is not a floater and let him bet too wide on flop. If he is not a floater, once you bet and get a call, your hand becomes quite weak imo..

      2 aces are excluded so Axs in his range is not that much plus some Axs is 2pair which beat you as well. JJ and TT folds flop super often imo or doesn't bet turn.

      After you get a flop call, he basically has showdown value and he only bets what's better than you imo. Cbet and check/folding AQ here though is one of the worst plans imo.. it's too good of a hand to not get to showdown like 99% of the time imo...