[NL2-NL10] 18 16 a7

    • Dracsharp
      Dracsharp
      Bronze
      Joined: 22.01.2010 Posts: 2,478
      Grabbed by Holdem Manager
      NL Holdem $0.10(BB) Replayer
      SB ($6.18)
      BB ($11.42)
      UTG ($7.66)
      Hero ($12.42)
      BTN ($10)

      Dealt to Hero A:club: 7:club:

      fold, Hero raises to $0.30, fold, SB calls $0.25, fold

      FLOP ($0.70) 6:spade: 2:spade: A:diamond:

      SB checks, Hero bets $0.49, SB calls $0.49

      TURN ($1.68) 6:spade: 2:spade: A:diamond: J:heart:

      SB checks, Hero bets $1, SB calls $1

      RIVER ($3.68) 6:spade: 2:spade: A:diamond: J:heart: 7:spade:

      SB checks, Hero bets $2.10, SB calls $2.10

      Hero shows A:club: 7:club:
      (Pre 33%, Flop 15.6%, Turn 13.6%)

      SB shows T:spade: A:heart:
      (Pre 67%, Flop 84.4%, Turn 86.4%)

      Hero wins $7.36

  • 3 replies
    • BogdanPS
      BogdanPS
      Basic
      Joined: 12.05.2010 Posts: 27,588
      Hey Dracsharp,

      Preflop: looks fine

      Postflop: Flop cbet is fine and on the turn it's a bit thin because there aren't that many hands we get value from.

      Remember that a lot of his FDs will have an Ax so there's not a lot we get value from.

      What's his range in your opinion?

      As played the river should be a bet/fold for value versus Ax hands.
    • Dracsharp
      Dracsharp
      Bronze
      Joined: 22.01.2010 Posts: 2,478
      Fd & ax, the problem is if we check the turn we can't really bluffcatch him later so we are checking down which is fine actually, because on river even less could call.

      When i tried with a probable range i got 40% for turn bet
      JJ,AQs-A2s,KsQs,KsJs,QsJs,KsTs,QsTs,JsTs,Ks9s,Qs9s,Js9s,Ts9s,Ks8s,Js8s,Ts8s,9s8s,Ks7s,9s7s,8s7s,Ks6s,8s6s,7s6s,Ks5s,AQo-A5o

      A9 would be a bet
    • BogdanPS
      BogdanPS
      Basic
      Joined: 12.05.2010 Posts: 27,588
      And that's if you add all worse Ax hands including offsuite aces which I don't think it's realistic. So in other words that's best case scenario and it's not great at all.

      So I think that bet is really thin and considering that river we can easily just check back or fold if he bets (after we check turn).