[NL2-NL10] Nl5[Fr] 66

    • andzaze
      andzaze
      Silver
      Joined: 17.04.2010 Posts: 52
      Poker Stars, $0.02/$0.05 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 8 Players
      Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

      Hero (MP2): $5.20 (104 bb)
      MP3: $12.78 (255.6 bb)
      CO: $11.89 (237.8 bb)
      BTN: $1.79 (35.8 bb)
      SB: $12.62 (252.4 bb)
      BB: $6.99 (139.8 bb)
      UTG+2: $1.20 (24 bb)
      MP1: $5.12 (102.4 bb) VPIP:16, PFR:11, RFI MP:17,AF:2.2, CbetF:100(13), CbetT:44(9), WTSD:27, hands:454

      Preflop: Hero is MP2 with 6 6
      UTG+2 folds, MP1 raises to $0.20, Hero calls $0.20, 5 folds

      Flop: ($0.47) 3 9 Q (2 players)
      MP1 bets $0.26, Hero calls $0.26

      Turn: ($0.99) K (2 players)
      MP1 checks, Hero bets $0.50, MP1 calls $0.50

      River: ($1.99) T (2 players)
      MP1 checks, Hero bets $1, MP1 folds

      4x is his standard oR, so calling for setmining and to take away pot on T because of his low T cbet and high F cbet.
      Once he calls T, he has a hand with SD value, smth like AK, AQ, TT,JJ, maybe some gutshots. So on river I'm behind but it's a good scarecard, so I turned my hand into bluff.
      What about 3b PRE? He has fold to 3b 90% out of 10 times.
  • 3 replies
    • kymupa
      kymupa
      Bronze
      Joined: 22.10.2009 Posts: 22,364
      Hello,

      Preflop is fine. Our hand plays pretty well postflop and 3betting would be a bad option.

      On the flop I would prefer folding here though.
      He looks rather tight so I expect him to have a very strong range here and with our 66 we aren't really standing too good.

      As played, when he checks the turn, I prefer checking back.
      I don't expect him to fold any better hands (well probably 77-88 will fold but then this is a small part of his range) and we have SD value.

      As played, the river connects with the board so I would prefer checking back.

      Best,
      Plamen
    • andzaze
      andzaze
      Silver
      Joined: 17.04.2010 Posts: 52
      Why would we want to fold flop when he opens 17% from MP and cbets his whole range on flop, then checks T half of the time? We can float him wide and take away pot on later streets.His WTSD is not high,so we can expect to him to fold hands better than ours on later streets
    • kymupa
      kymupa
      Bronze
      Joined: 22.10.2009 Posts: 22,364
      Well, do you honestly believe that a guy that plays 16/11 overall will open 17% from MP?
      Let's have a look at this deeper. So we have 450 hands on him and the sample we have on him raising at MP will be roughly around 50. So can we really make any general assumptions about his opening range for 50 situations?

      Also, yes, he cbets quite a lot, but then his range is probably very strong as I said in my previous post and there are not many hands that we will be able to make fold.