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[NL20-NL50] NL50 6max, TPTK vs loose passive

    • Anger86
      Anger86
      Bronze
      Joined: 17.08.2008 Posts: 511
      $50.00 No Limit Hold'em - 6 player

      BB: $50.00 - VPIP: 21, PFR: 15, 3B: 5, AF: 2.9, Hands: 1159
      UTG: $56.80 - VPIP: 22, PFR: 14, 3B: 7, AF: 1.1, Hands: 279
      MP: $50.00 - VPIP: 22, PFR: 17, 3B: 7, AF: 4.5, Hands: 2383
      Hero (CO): $63.40 - VPIP: 24, PFR: 21, 3B: 11, AF: 4.9, Hands: 119329
      BTN: $50.00 - VPIP: 21, PFR: 20, 3B: 15, AF: 4.6, Hands: 360
      SB: $74.35 - VPIP: 37, PFR: 23, 3B: 13, AF: 1.5, Hands: 43

      Pre Flop: ($0.75) Hero is CO with K :diamond: A :spade:
      2 folds, Hero raises to $1.50, 1 fold, SB calls $1.25, 1 fold

      Flop: ($3.50) 6 :diamond: K :heart: 5 :club: (2 players)
      SB checks, Hero bets $3.00, SB calls $3

      Turn: ($9.50) 2 :heart: (2 players)
      SB checks, Hero bets $7.50, SB calls $7.50

      River: ($24.50) 3 :diamond: (2 players)
      SB bets $20.00, Hero ?

      I think that flop and turn is standard to bet/fold.
      River - I'm curious if player could pot with KJ or KQ here.
      IMO it would bet just a x/c for him. Also 65s.

      The thing is that I can still have sets in my range so
      he is not that likely to that stuff with TP's.

      Also SPR for my hand kind of suck in a single raise pot.

      Equity situations:
      A) Strong range-

      Board: 6:diamond: K:heart: 5:club:  2:heart:  3:diamond:
             Equity     Win     Tie
      MP2   100.00% 100.00%   0.00% { 66-55, K6s-K5s, 74s, 64s+, 54s, 43s }
      MP3     0.00%   0.00%   0.00% { AsKd }



      B) Adding KJ, KQ -

      Board: 6:diamond: K:heart: 5:club:  2:heart:  3:diamond:
             Equity     Win     Tie
      MP2    60.00%  60.00%   0.00% { 66-55, KJs+, K6s-K5s, 74s, 64s+, 54s, 43s, KJo+ }
      MP3    40.00%  40.00%   0.00% { AsKd }


      C) Adding just KQ

      Board: 6:diamond: K:heart: 5:club:  2:heart:  3:diamond:
             Equity     Win     Tie
      MP2    75.00%  75.00%   0.00% { 66-55, KQs, K6s-K5s, 74s, 64s+, 54s, 43s, KQo }
      MP3    25.00%  25.00%   0.00% { AsKd }



      I think, it's more likely to be nut heavy, so = FOLD.
  • 1 reply
    • mbml
      mbml
      Black
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,779
      Hi

      Im not putting him on top pairs. Either 4x or 78 8h9h 7h9h imo. I think folding could be reasonabke. I expect fishes to defend low cards too from sb.

      Its close though. Without too much ibfo besides af i will call sets here