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[NL20-NL50] [SH] TP vs Raise on dry Board

    • monvo
      Joined: 04.04.2011 Posts: 249
      Poker Stars $25.00 No Limit Hold'em - 6 players - View hand 2070061
      DeucesCracked Poker Videos Hand History Converter

      UTG: $17.45 - VPIP: 30, PFR: 7, 3B: 0, AF: 2,3, Hands: 44
      MP: $15.68 - VPIP: 55, PFR: 23, 3B: 0, AF: 2,0, Hands: 22
      Hero (CO): $34.67 - VPIP: 25, PFR: 21, 3B: 6, AF: 3,1, Hands: 906
      BTN: $37.81 - VPIP: 24, PFR: 16, 3B: 10, AF: 1,4, Hands: 109
      SB: $24.50 - VPIP: 42, PFR: 28, 3B: 9, AF: 2,5, Hands: 69
      BB: $24.30 - VPIP: 14, PFR: 8, 3B: 0, AF: 1,1, Hands: 111

      Pre Flop: ($0.35) Hero is CO with 9 :diamond: J :spade:
      2 folds, Hero raises to $0.75, BTN calls $0.75, 2 folds

      Flop: ($1.85) J :heart: 6 :club: 2 :spade: (2 players)
      Hero bets $1.10, BTN raises to $3, Hero folds

      Hi, this is a short one:
      J9o is sometimes in my CO openingrange, this time it is because the guy in the SB seemed like a fish. The Btn was pretty much unknown at the time.

      On the flop I place my C-bet and get raised. The flop hits neither my range nor villains range particularly well, and I don't see any reason he would raise the flop with an actual hand. I folded anyway because the thought of more barrels to come while out of position didn't seem too nice.

      Is the fold ok or too weak?
  • 1 reply
    • EmanuelC16
      Joined: 02.01.2010 Posts: 13,909

      I think the fold is OK-ish but I want you to think about something else:

      How much value is there in a cbet? Look at your kicker for TP, how much value can you get? Do you miss much value by checking?

      The board is dry so there are no good equity draws that just snap call you to see the next card. You will usually be way ahead/way behind but not too much ahead if you get called, imo anyway. I'd usually want 2 streets of value with this hand so I usually check flop and include this in my check/calling range since people at NL25 are not aggressive enough to barrel you off your hand as a bluff.