[NL2-NL10] 19 11 aj

    • Dracsharp
      Dracsharp
      Bronze
      Joined: 22.01.2010 Posts: 2,478
      Grabbed by Holdem Manager
      NL Holdem $0.10(BB) Replayer
      SB ($11.05)
      BB ($7.03)
      UTG ($12.08)
      Hero ($10)
      CO ($10.20)
      BTN ($4.80)

      Dealt to Hero J:diamond: A:diamond:

      UTG raises to $0.30, Hero calls $0.30, fold, fold, fold, fold

      FLOP ($0.75) A:heart: T:heart: 2:spade:

      UTG bets $0.40, Hero calls $0.40

      TURN ($1.55) A:heart: T:heart: 2:spade: 9:spade:

      UTG bets $1.10, Hero calls $1.10

      RIVER ($3.75) A:heart: T:heart: 2:spade: 9:spade: 5:club:

      UTG bets $2.80, Hero folds

      UTG wins $3.50

  • 3 replies
    • mbml
      mbml
      Black
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,694
      Hi.

      His stats do not indicate that he is 3barrel bluffing too often. But at the same time, 2 flush draws busted, and he has a really wide range from UTG with a 30% range (typical loose CO opening range).

      I think we should consider calling down on the River due to the above 2 factors.

      Thanks.
    • Dracsharp
      Dracsharp
      Bronze
      Joined: 22.01.2010 Posts: 2,478
      Would you consider folding the turn to him ? As is out, so is t,9 , the best we beat is a8 6/12 combinations of ax beats us. A9s+,A2s

      I we call that i agree we should calldown on the busted draw.
    • mbml
      mbml
      Black
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,694
      Nah AJ is way too strong to fold. I won't be surprised to see him valuebet some worse AX hands. Maybe even KK/QQ, there are many people out there who just 2barrel this either for thin value, or because they are not sure what to do with the hand.

      There are also 2 flush draws out there. If you agree with not folding River, then I don't see why you would ever think about folding the Turn. He can have so many semi-bluffs in his range, including hearts, spades, QJ/78, and maybe even broadway gutshots. I don't think he's necessarily always barreling all these hands, especially the weaker draws like KJ (given his lower turn barrel %) but I think the vast number of draws just means that we are doing very well against his overall Turn betting range.