[NL20-NL50] NL24sh-AA vs donkbet and raise

    • urmo1
      urmo1
      Black
      Joined: 02.03.2008 Posts: 718
      Hello
      SB-32/7/1.9/2.5k h/fold to 3bet 57/donk bet 17/cc 3bet 11.7
      UTG-41/23/2.7/32h
      What you think about fold/shove on Flop?

      Poker Stars, $0.10/$0.25 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
      Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

      BB: $25 (100 bb)
      UTG: $16.30 (65.2 bb)
      MP: $19.43 (77.7 bb)
      Hero (CO): $25 (100 bb)
      BTN: $30.72 (122.9 bb)
      SB: $19.63 (78.5 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is CO with A A
      UTG raises to $1, MP folds, Hero raises to $3, BTN folds, SB calls $2.90, BB folds, UTG calls $2

      Flop: ($9.25) T 8 2 (3 players)
      SB bets $1.50, UTG raises to $3.50, Hero folds, SB raises to $16.63, UTG calls $9.80 and is all-in

      Turn: ($35.85) 2 (2 players, 1 is all-in)
      River: ($35.85) K (2 players, 1 is all-in)
  • 1 reply
    • mbml
      mbml
      Black
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,694
      Hi.

      Preflop size seems a little large, given that UTG opened 4BB and he's short. But I guess it's fine if he's a huge fish and you get called anyway

      Flop: :O Don't see how you can ever fold here.

      1) Stack:P ot Ratio is so small -> This is basic Risk vs Reward. Reward (Pot) is huge compared to Risk (remaining stack size)

      2) Their bet and raise sizes are so small, board is moderately draw heavy. This smells of weakness. I think UTG can have some TX hands in his range and we crush SB's range too (i put him mostly on TT-KK, but I won't be surprised to see some AhQh or some other random hands)

      I think folding here is a big mistake. Definitely raising to 8 and calling it off for sure and it is not close.

      Thanks.