[NL20-NL50] [SH] NL50 AKo deep cold4bet pot

    • duder1n0
      Joined: 07.07.2009 Posts: 5,335
      Prima, $0.25/$0.50 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players

      Hero (BB): $91.41 (182.8 bb)
      UTG: $20 (40 bb)
      MP: $51.51 (103 bb)
      CO: $53.12 (106.2 bb)
      BTN: $107.62 (215.2 bb)
      SB: $57.78 (115.6 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is BB with K A
      2 folds, CO raises to $1.50, BTN raises to $5, SB folds, Hero raises to $11, CO folds, BTN calls $6

      Flop: ($23.75) A Q T (2 players)
      Hero bets $9, BTN raises to $21.25, Hero folds

      Anon table.

      BTN played 27/24 on smaller sample, seemed like an aggro reg.

      Preflop I didnt want to call oop, so I went for cold4bet. Sizing should be bigger?

      Flop? I made my cbet smaller to allow him to float with wider range (KQ/QJ/AJ/JJ etc.).
      After getting raised? AA/QQ/TT/AQ are definitely in his range, and he could raise them as the board is very coordinated. I'm not sure if he would play pair+draws (KQ/QJ/JT) like that, but I went for the safe play and folded, didnt want to put in 180bb.
      Even against a somewhat wider range, I'm not favourite.

      Board: A:spade: Q:heart: T:spade:
             Equity     Win     Tie
      BU     69.31%  57.15%  12.16% { AA, QQ, TT, AQs+, ATs, KJs, KsQs, QsJs, JhTh, AQo+ }
      BB     30.69%  18.53%  12.16% { AdKc }
  • 1 reply
    • mbml
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,779

      Preflop sizing is mostly based on villain's tendencies. If he is the type who is hesitant to call 4bets, your size seems optimal. You should go larger to 12-13 especially with these stack sizes.

      Flop I feel is a clear check if villain is capable of making some bluff-raises. I will just check and call down on most runouts. If spades or a King come on the Turn or river, it would be very tough.

      If you bet, you should bet/fold since your equity is very bad and he can put you in a world of hurt on future streets with stack depth and limited info.

      In short, because I think he is capable of making aggro plays, I like checking AJ/AK here on such 3 broadway flop textures and just calling down. It's just super tough to play vs a raise.