[NL20-NL50] [SH] NL50 AKo deep cold4bet pot

    • duder1n0
      duder1n0
      Gold
      Joined: 07.07.2009 Posts: 5,317
      Prima, $0.25/$0.50 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players

      Hero (BB): $91.41 (182.8 bb)
      UTG: $20 (40 bb)
      MP: $51.51 (103 bb)
      CO: $53.12 (106.2 bb)
      BTN: $107.62 (215.2 bb)
      SB: $57.78 (115.6 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is BB with K A
      2 folds, CO raises to $1.50, BTN raises to $5, SB folds, Hero raises to $11, CO folds, BTN calls $6

      Flop: ($23.75) A Q T (2 players)
      Hero bets $9, BTN raises to $21.25, Hero folds


      Anon table.

      BTN played 27/24 on smaller sample, seemed like an aggro reg.

      Preflop I didnt want to call oop, so I went for cold4bet. Sizing should be bigger?

      Flop? I made my cbet smaller to allow him to float with wider range (KQ/QJ/AJ/JJ etc.).
      After getting raised? AA/QQ/TT/AQ are definitely in his range, and he could raise them as the board is very coordinated. I'm not sure if he would play pair+draws (KQ/QJ/JT) like that, but I went for the safe play and folded, didnt want to put in 180bb.
      Even against a somewhat wider range, I'm not favourite.

      Board: A:spade: Q:heart: T:spade:
             Equity     Win     Tie
      BU     69.31%  57.15%  12.16% { AA, QQ, TT, AQs+, ATs, KJs, KsQs, QsJs, JhTh, AQo+ }
      BB     30.69%  18.53%  12.16% { AdKc }
  • 1 reply
    • mbml
      mbml
      Black
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,694
      Hi.

      Preflop sizing is mostly based on villain's tendencies. If he is the type who is hesitant to call 4bets, your size seems optimal. You should go larger to 12-13 especially with these stack sizes.

      Flop I feel is a clear check if villain is capable of making some bluff-raises. I will just check and call down on most runouts. If spades or a King come on the Turn or river, it would be very tough.

      If you bet, you should bet/fold since your equity is very bad and he can put you in a world of hurt on future streets with stack depth and limited info.

      In short, because I think he is capable of making aggro plays, I like checking AJ/AK here on such 3 broadway flop textures and just calling down. It's just super tough to play vs a raise.

      Thanks.