[NL20-NL50] NL50 44 FH river

    • double2
      double2
      Coach
      Coach
      Joined: 04.11.2008 Posts: 14,642
      Poker Stars, $0.25/$0.50 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
      Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

      UTG: $73.61 (147.2 bb)
      MP: $45.83 (91.7 bb)
      Hero (CO): $54.95 (109.9 bb)
      BTN: $22.70 (45.4 bb)
      SB: $52.55 (105.1 bb)
      BB: $50 (100 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is CO with 4 4
      UTG raises to $1.60, MP folds, Hero calls $1.60, 3 folds

      Flop: ($3.95) 6 6 4 (2 players)
      UTG bets $3.20, Hero calls $3.20

      Turn: ($10.35) K (2 players)
      UTG bets $8.18, Hero calls $8.18

      River: ($26.71) Q (2 players)
      UTG bets $23

      Villain 5.7k hands
      24/19/7%
      open UTG 20%
      cbet F/T/R 69/52/52
      agg freq 41/30/25
      WTSD 24%
      WWSF 44%

      Standard until river? River better call ou shove? I don't know if he calls the extra 20$ with AA or AK or even if he plays them this way.
  • 1 reply
    • EmanuelC16
      EmanuelC16
      Bronze
      Joined: 02.01.2010 Posts: 13,897
      Hey,

      He pots river so it seems close to be since his range should contain 66, KK and QQ, not just the first two plus you look insanely strong. If he would have A6s, 76, 65s in his range... hmm

      If he doesn't call AA for a few combos of that, or KQ, you can't value raise imo:


      Board: 6:spade: 6:diamond: 4:spade:  K:club:  Q:diamond:
             Equity     Win     Tie
      MP2    46.13%  46.13%   0.00% { 4h4c }
      MP3    53.87%  53.87%   0.00% { KK-QQ, 66, A6s, 76s, 65s }


      I usually raise flop here though... I expect to get close to 0% credit and I will actually attack a 20% UTG raise on flop + 70% cbet quite often IP on several textures. Standard is probably to call but non-standard makes regs spew.