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[NL20-NL50] NL50 QJs 3bet pot, how many barrels

    • double2
      Joined: 04.11.2008 Posts: 14,642
      Poker Stars, $0.25/$0.50 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 5 Players
      Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

      CO: $67.14 (134.3 bb)
      Hero (BTN): $50 (100 bb)
      SB: $34.81 (69.6 bb)
      BB: $50.82 (101.6 bb)
      MP: $42.72 (85.4 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is BTN with Q J
      MP folds, CO raises to $1.50, Hero raises to $4, 2 folds, CO calls $2.50

      Flop: ($8.75) 5 K 2 (2 players)
      CO checks, Hero bets $4.50, CO calls $4.50

      Turn: ($17.75) 6 (2 players)
      CO checks,

      Villain 4.1k hands
      open CO 23%
      fold to 3bet 65% (66% CO)
      4bet range 3.9% (4.9% in CO (29))
      fold to cbet in 3bet pot flop/turn 38%/50% (8)
      Agg freq 48/37/26
      WTSD 24%
      WWSF 50%

      On these kinda turns I'm always undecided if this villain needs 3 barrels to fold 77-JJ or if 2 is enough. Or should I just give up on this turn? On turns A or T my plan is to barrel twice (flop and turn).
  • 1 reply
    • EmanuelC16
      Joined: 02.01.2010 Posts: 13,909

      This is a very dynamic spot. In a vacuum you can barrel this to make him fold middle pair but if you look at your range and your frequency, he should stop folding a middle pair. You also have enough 'outs' to bet turn, this just wasn't one of them. On Ax I'd triple btw.. It's just too good of a card since people don't check/call AQ on flop and 4bet AK, AA and KK pre, don't defend A5s, A2s OOP almost at all either. Tripleling A on turn is to make him fold Kx.