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[NL20-NL50] AK broke ?

    • daisuke3823
      daisuke3823
      Bronze
      Joined: 05.02.2008 Posts: 8,321
      Hand converted with online PokerStrategy.com hand converter:

      ハンドをプレーする

      $0.25/$0.5 No-Limit Hold'em (6 handed)

      Known players:
      BU:
      $93.18
      SB:
      $72.37
      BB:
      $67.13
      MP2:
      $51.50
      MP3 (Hero):
      $54.13
      CO:
      $34.29


      Preflop: Hero is MP3 with A, K.
      MP2 folds, Hero raises to $1.50, 3 folds, BB raises to $5.00, Hero calls $3.50.

      Flop: ($10.25) 7, J, 8 (2 players)
      BB bets $6.00, Hero folds, BB gets uncalled bet back.

      Final Pot: $10.25.

      113 vpip24 pfr21 af1,4 wtsd35 w$SD67

      against this opponent,should I go broke?
  • 5 replies
    • mbml
      mbml
      Black
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,779
      Hi.

      What's his 3bet %? That is the most relevant stat here, not WTSD or AF.

      Thanks.
    • daisuke3823
      daisuke3823
      Bronze
      Joined: 05.02.2008 Posts: 8,321
      Originally posted by mbml
      Hi.

      What's his 3bet %? That is the most relevant stat here, not WTSD or AF.

      Thanks.
      3BET6  squeeze 16,7 :evil:
    • mbml
      mbml
      Black
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,779
      I think you should call here instead of going broke preflop then.

      What is his Flop cbet %? If it's low, this is definitely a fold on the Flop because we would expect him to c/f most of his air hands and only cbet his overpairs. If it's like 90-100% we could consider floating him on the flop and then bluffing the Turn when checked to.
    • daisuke3823
      daisuke3823
      Bronze
      Joined: 05.02.2008 Posts: 8,321
      Originally posted by mbml
      I think you should call here instead of going broke preflop then.

      What is his Flop cbet %? If it's low, this is definitely a fold on the Flop because we would expect him to c/f most of his air hands and only cbet his overpairs. If it's like 90-100% we could consider floating him on the flop and then bluffing the Turn when checked to.

      flopCB100 in 3 bet pot,and turnCB0
      so I think I can float here?
    • mbml
      mbml
      Black
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,779
      Perhaps, if your sample size was larger. Given that you only have 100 hands, maybe he only cbets 2 out of 2 times, which is not enough info on whether we can float here profitably or not. If we have him cbetting 9 out of 9 times, then I think you can consider floating here with AK high.