[NL20-NL50] nl20 Any Value on the River?

    • Ghartman
      Ghartman
      Bronze
      Joined: 28.10.2011 Posts: 270
      $0.10/$0.20 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
      Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

      CO: $27.59 (138 bb)
      BTN: $20 (100 bb)
      SB: $57.57 (287.8 bb)
      Hero (BB): $23.81 (119 bb)
      UTG: $46.15 (230.7 bb)
      MP: $15.35 (76.8 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is BB with T T
      UTG calls $0.20, 3 folds, SB raises to $1.10, Hero calls $0.90, UTG folds

      Flop: ($2.40) 9 3 J (2 players)
      SB bets $1.80, Hero calls $1.80

      Turn: ($6) 8 (2 players)
      SB checks, Hero bets $3.60, SB calls $3.60

      River: ($13.20) 6 (2 players)
      SB checks, Hero checks


      Ok, this was played on the Anon tables so stats are wrong. As you can see, villain iso's UTG limper, I could either squeeze or just call. Everyone was just calling everything tonight so I didn't really want to blow up the pot too much and just flatted. I had played a couple of small pots with villain, nothing too big but he seemed pretty aggro and sticky.

      An ok flop which he leads out on, I'm not folding yet with my back door draws and we see a turn. A potentially pretty good card for me and I'm happy to put out a small bet with my extra equity. When the river comes and villain checks, do I have any value in putting out a small value bet or is my check back ok? I'm guessing it would be bet/fold if he goes nuts on me, but generally, should I be betting here in a vacuum? Let me know what you think.

      Thanks
  • 1 reply
    • EmanuelC16
      EmanuelC16
      Bronze
      Joined: 02.01.2010 Posts: 13,897
      Hey,

      Even turn looks close for me but probably OK.

      River is definitely a check. Once you bet the turn and he calls, his range becomes quite decent for that board, usually stuff like QJ, KJ. The final problem is what do you expect him to call? You have T high flushm he can't have lower can he? He doesn't iso 89o, you have Ts so he doesn't have 89s, T9s.. he doesn't have 78s, 76s.. he is literally left with better flushes than you or no flush.