[NL2-NL10] 21 15 at

    • Dracsharp
      Joined: 22.01.2010 Posts: 2,478
      Grabbed by Holdem Manager
      NL Holdem $0.10(BB) Replayer
      SB ($10.70)
      BB ($10)
      Hero ($10.41)
      BTN ($4.64)

      Dealt to Hero T:spade: A:club:

      Hero raises to $0.30, fold, SB calls $0.25, fold

      FLOP ($0.70) 9:club: T:diamond: 7:spade:

      SB bets $0.50, Hero calls $0.50

      TURN ($1.70) 9:club: T:diamond: 7:spade: 8:club:

      SB checks, Hero checks

      RIVER ($1.70) 9:club: T:diamond: 7:spade: 8:club: J:spade:

      SB bets $1.10, Hero calls $1.10

      SB shows J:diamond: Q:spade:
      (Pre 42%, Flop 50.0%, Turn 100.0%)

      Hero shows T:spade: A:club:
      (Pre 58%, Flop 50.0%, Turn 0.0%)

      SB wins $3.64

  • 1 reply
    • mbml
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,779

      River really depends on how often the opponent is bluffing. We are calling 1.10 on the River to win half the pot (85 cents). So we need him to be bluffing ~60% of the time.

      One thing I would like to point out though, is that his flop leading range contains many QX hands, such as QT Q8 KQ QJ. However, if his bluffing range is still wide enough, then we could potentially be good 60% of the time.