[NL20-NL50] SH NL50 zoom AQs NFD vs raise IP

    • dooleslovs
      dooleslovs
      Platinum
      Joined: 17.02.2011 Posts: 481
      PokerStars - $0.50 NL FAST (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
      Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

      BTN: $50.50
      SB: $68.13
      BB: $169.71
      Hero (UTG): $50.00
      MP: $116.63
      CO: $50.00

      SB posts SB $0.25, BB posts BB $0.50

      Pre Flop: (pot: $0.75) Hero has A:club: Q:club:

      Hero raises to $1.50, fold, fold, BTN calls $1.50, SB calls $1.25, fold

      Flop: ($5.00, 3 players) 4:club: 6:club: J:diamond:
      SB checks, Hero bets $3.00, fold, SB raises to $8.00, Hero ??

      Vilain is rather unknown 23/13 20 hands, call, raise, push? if raise to what size? if call do we call onother bet on blank turn, vs unknow do you consider they always raise draws, or how you estimate his range, becouse if I think he raises worse draws its clear push, if I think he bluff raises some times with 3 pair or somethink its also clear push, but if I only asign him nuts so I just call, and fold blank turn. I am on nasty downsing everyone showing just nuts and nothing else, I do not want to get paranoid and play week.
  • 3 replies
    • mbml
      mbml
      Black
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,694
      Hi.

      I think folding is definitely out of the question with the nut flush draw. So it's either call, raise or push.

      Push: Not a good option, I would assume his range could be weighted towards sets and combo draws. Would he really c/r JX in a 3way pot?

      Raise: Same as push

      Call: Best option here. I would also call with all my sets IP. Remember that the board is not too wet, so few straight draws so only about 20% of the deck is action killing and brings a 3rd club on the board.

      Thanks.
    • dooleslovs
      dooleslovs
      Platinum
      Joined: 17.02.2011 Posts: 481
      thanks, and vs blank turn and 1/2 psb you fold?
    • mbml
      mbml
      Black
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,694
      Hi,

      On the turn, pot will have 21$. If he bets 10.5, we will have 29.5 left behind in stacks, and pot will be 42$. I think we can call again if we think his range contains some draws still.

      Pot odds offered on Turn = 25%

      Equity Win Tie
      MP2 82.58% 82.58% 0.00% 66, 44, 64s
      MP3 17.42% 17.42% 0.00% AcQc

      Even vs such a tight range, we already have 17.4% equity. And I think we definitely have some implied odds vs such a strong range. I don't think we need to win that much more on the River to make a call good here

      Equity Win Tie
      MP2 79.55% 79.55% 0.00% 66, 44, 64s, KcJc, JcTc, Jc9c
      MP3 20.45% 20.45% 0.00% AcQc

      If our opponent has some pair + draws, our outs decrease, but we have more implied odds when both of us hit our flush.

      If I add more weaker flush draws here, it will be even more favourable for us to call here. With a non-nut flush type of hand, i would probably fold the turn in such spots cos I think he shouldn't have too wide of a range here.

      Thanks.