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[NL20-NL50] [SH] NL50 AQo squeeze

    • duder1n0
      Joined: 07.07.2009 Posts: 5,335
      Prima, $0.25/$0.50 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 5 Players

      Hero (BB): $77.16 (154.3 bb)
      MP: $76.88 (153.8 bb)
      CO: $39.97 (79.9 bb)
      BTN: $60.26 (120.5 bb)
      SB: $54 (108 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is BB with A Q
      MP raises to $1.50, CO folds, BTN calls $1.50, SB folds, Hero raises to $6.25, MP folds, BTN calls $4.75

      Flop: ($14.25) A K J (2 players)
      Hero bets $6.50, BTN calls $6.50

      Turn: ($27.25) 5 (2 players)
      Hero bets $12.50, BTN calls $12.50

      River: ($52.25) 3 (2 players)
      Hero bets $37, BTN calls $35.01 and is all-in

      Anon table.

      BTN played 44/5 after 210 hands, AFq 19, wtsd 31.

      Not the greatest board for AQ, but against such a passive station, it's just standard bet/bet/push, right?
  • 1 reply
    • mbml
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,779

      This spot mostly depends on how many worse AX hands villain can call.

      Equity Win Tie
      MP2 59.15% 54.93% 4.23% JJ, A2s+, KJs, QTs, A9o+, KJo, QTo
      MP3 40.85% 36.62% 4.23% AdQs

      I think on river you may end up value cutting yourself. I think what you can consider doing is just to bet 10 and fold to a raise. He probably doesn't fold KQ and KT to a small bet.

      Equity Win Tie
      MP2 45.65% 42.39% 3.26% JJ, A2s+, KTs+, QTs, A9o+, KTo+, QTo
      MP3 54.35% 51.09% 3.26% AdQs

      now you get your value, and given he's so passive, he's never pushing with worse than 2 pairs.