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[NL20-NL50] [SH] NL50 KK on xxx-A

    • duder1n0
      Joined: 07.07.2009 Posts: 5,335
      Prima, $0.25/$0.50 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 5 Players

      SB: $107.10 (214.2 bb)
      Hero (BB): $93 (186 bb)
      MP: $53.41 (106.8 bb)
      CO: $22.24 (44.5 bb)
      BTN: $82.67 (165.3 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is BB with K K
      MP raises to $1.50, 3 folds, Hero raises to $5, MP calls $3.50

      Flop: ($10.25) T 8 7 (2 players)
      Hero bets $5.50, MP calls $5.50

      Turn: ($21.25) A (2 players)
      Hero checks, MP bets $12, Hero calls $12

      River: ($45.25) 5 (2 players)
      Hero checks, MP bets $30.91 and is all-in, Hero folds

      Anon table.

      MP played 20/18 after 50 hands, no reads yet.

      Turn? I didnt want to bet/fold with my nutFD. He could stab turn with all his floats, but without more info I didnt assume that he bluffshoves river very often, or turns his made hands into bluff like that.
  • 1 reply
    • mbml
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,779

      Kind of feel like we have to call down.

      1) Kh blocks off many flush combos from his range. We are looking at QhJh, J9s, 9h8h, 8h6h for flushes? I think he raises many of those combo draws on the Flop. Thus we should heavily discount flushes from his range.

      2) I think he floats Flop with a ton of JX, like QJs, KJ, AJ. We lose to AJ, we beat KJ and QJ. We could potentially beat 99 or 98 being turned into a bluff. Does he raise that on the flop though?

      3) Sets should be raising flop most of the time. Board is so draw heavy and it doesn't make too much sense to slowplay here, especially when your betting range is going to be weighted towards overpairs on this coordinated flop.

      I think you should c/c T c/c R. Getting 26% pot odds, and I am pretty sure we have that.