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[NL20-NL50] nl25 sh AT river bluff

    • jules97
      Joined: 10.06.2012 Posts: 1,449

      River call eff 2.5
      Fold to F x/r 71%

      He probably sees me fairly tight.

      I think when he bets the river, I'm pretty much beat. So I thought coz he likes folding I could rep something like KT or maybe a slow played set or twopair. Looks like it would put him in a nasty spot with TP/TK. What do you think?

      PokerStars - $0.25 NL (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
      Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

      CO: $25.25
      Hero (BTN): $39.72
      SB: $31.71
      BB: $25.00
      UTG: $25.35
      MP: $34.29

      SB posts SB $0.10, BB posts BB $0.25

      Pre Flop: (pot: $0.35) Hero has A:heart: T:diamond:

      fold, fold, fold, Hero raises to $0.50, SB raises to $1.80, fold, Hero calls $1.30

      Flop: ($3.85, 2 players) A:club: J:spade: Q:heart:
      SB bets $2.00, Hero calls $2.00

      Turn: ($7.85, 2 players) 4:spade:
      SB bets $3.90, Hero calls $3.90

      River: ($15.65, 2 players) 6:heart:
      SB bets $8.00, Hero raises to $32.02 and is all-in

      , tank folds
      Hero wins $30.23
  • 1 reply
    • mbml
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,779

      1) You cannot rep any sets at all as you would 4bet most of them preflop, even JJ, given the starting positions.

      2) I"m not too sure whether you can rep two pair too much, I don't think you should be shoving QJ here, probably only AQ and AJ. And I think he has that in his range as much as you do, unless you think he has some sort of bet-sizing imbalance.

      I'm not even sure how often he would be 3barreling a hand like AK (cos it is probably a bad idea which isolates himself vs better). This is proven by the fact that you know you are no longer good on the River.

      3) You can only rep 4 combos of KTs, maybe some AQ and some AJ.

      I think if you have some read on his bet sizing as a tell for weakness, then your shove could potentially be good. If not it may be spew, if he's capable of half potting the river with AQ.