[NL20-NL50] [Sh] Nl50 Jj

    • TetraQuark
      TetraQuark
      Bronze
      Joined: 21.05.2008 Posts: 1,520
      $0.25/$0.50 No Limit Holdem
      6 Players
      Hand Conversion Powered by weaktight.com

      Stacks:
      UTG ($25) 50bb
      UTG+1 ($51.50) 103bb
      CO ($45.05) 90bb
      BTN ($117.88) 236bb
      Hero (SB) ($50.24) 100bb
      BB ($65.24) 130bb

      Pre-Flop: ($0.75, 6 players) Hero is SB J J
      3 folds, BTN raises to $1.25, Hero raises to $4.75, 1 fold, BTN calls $3.50

      Flop: 6 8 T ($10, 2 players)
      Hero checks, BTN bets $5, Hero raises to $15, BTN goes all-in $113.13, Hero goes all-in $30.49

      Turn: 6 ($100.98, 2 players, 2 all-in)

      River: A ($100.98, 2 players, 2 all-in)


      Hi!

      Villain is 27/23 AF 2.3 - a loosing player. Even though it is zoom we have some dynamics. Since I took a few big pots from him he now wants to play vs me every chance he gets.

      His BTN OR is 64%, f23b 51%.
      Stab vs missed on flop is 45% and overall flop AFq is 44%.

      Plan with my hand is to fake weakness, to let him stab all of his air + he is stacking with nfd on flop (note). I want to stackoff on flop here.

      Too optimistic?
  • 1 reply
    • mbml
      mbml
      Black
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,698
      Hi.

      You are overplaying your hand. Remember that on such flops, the relative hand strength of your overpair drops dramatically.

      If you think he doesn't bluff raise too often, you should just bet/fold, because his raising range has your hand crushed. Alternatively, you can just c/c and pot control, hope to dodge some bad cards and continue inducing from him.

      Check/raising here just isolates you against the top of his range.

      Thanks.