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[NL20-NL50] NL50 TT turn spot

    • double2
      double2
      Bronze
      Joined: 04.11.2008 Posts: 14,642
      Poker Stars, $0.25/$0.50 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
      Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

      SB: $25.16 (50.3 bb)
      BB: $66.59 (133.2 bb)
      UTG: $50.50 (101 bb)
      MP: $39.17 (78.3 bb)
      Hero (CO): $50.75 (101.5 bb)
      BTN: $126.11 (252.2 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is CO with Q J
      2 folds, Hero raises to $1.25, BTN calls $1.25, 2 folds

      Flop: ($3.25) 8 6 T (2 players)
      Hero bets $2, BTN calls $2

      Turn: ($7.25) K (2 players)
      Hero bets $4.50, BTN raises to $10,

      Villain 10k hands 26/21/7.2%
      call open BU 15%
      fold to cbet flop 28%
      raise cbet flop 8%
      fold to cbet turn 26%
      raise cbet turn 21% (16% IP, 36% OOP)
      fold to cbet river 48%
      WTSD 30%
      WWSF 50%
      Agg freq 39/34/24

      The plan was to 3barrel.
  • 2 replies
    • mbml
      mbml
      Black
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,779
      Hi.

      Flop: Betting gutshots seem standard. Not too sure how often he actually has a set here, he should be raising Flop almost always on this super coordinated Flop texture.

      Turn: Maybe he turned some combodraws like AhQh QhJh AhJh. Our odds are really good here so I think we can call (20.2%).

      We should consider the option of donking on a heart River. However, I think that he is weighted towards combo draws a lot of the time. Then again, I'd expect him to be full of it here a lot of the time, given how wide he is floating on the Flop and Turn.

      Thanks.
    • double2
      double2
      Bronze
      Joined: 04.11.2008 Posts: 14,642
      Originally posted by mbml
      Hi.

      Flop: Betting gutshots seem standard. Not too sure how often he actually has a set here, he should be raising Flop almost always on this super coordinated Flop texture.

      Turn: Maybe he turned some combodraws like AhQh QhJh AhJh. Our odds are really good here so I think we can call (20.2%).

      We should consider the option of donking on a heart River. However, I think that he is weighted towards combo draws a lot of the time. Then again, I'd expect him to be full of it here a lot of the time, given how wide he is floating on the Flop and Turn.

      Thanks.
      What do you think about re-raising turn?