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[NL2-NL10] Cap 20Bb

    • Stedyeddy
      Stedyeddy
      Black
      Joined: 28.02.2011 Posts: 7,502
      Grabbed by Holdem Manager
      NL Holdem $0.50(BB) Replayer
      SB ($20.03)
      BB ($25.75)
      UTG ($23.60)
      CO ($16.36)
      Hero ($28.87)

      Dealt to Hero J:diamond: Q:diamond:

      fold, fold, Hero raises to $1.04, fold, BB calls $0.54

      FLOP ($2.33) 6:heart: 3:diamond: 7:heart:

      BB checks, Hero bets $1, BB calls $1

      TURN ($4.33) 6:heart: 3:diamond: 7:heart: K:diamond:

      BB checks, Hero bets $2, BB calls $2

      RIVER ($8.33) 6:heart: 3:diamond: 7:heart: K:diamond: 3:club:

      BB checks, Hero bets $5.96, BB calls $5.96

      20bb

      CAP.

      Oponent 170 hands.

      29/22

      Fbb to steal> 59%
      3bet to bu 17%
      WTSD: 37%
      WWSF 43%

      Dobut: is EV+ bet river to make fold hands like 6x or 7x on his range?
      Is he folding this hands?

      How many fold to river bet need to make a profitable bet river?
  • 3 replies
    • mbml
      mbml
      Black
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,779
      Hi,

      River bet is bad. All draws missed, and you are obviously going to try repping KX. He is going into full bluff catcher mode with 7X and above.

      I don't think bluffing River is good vs anyone decent. Hearts are great to bluff on though.

      Thanks.
    • Stedyeddy
      Stedyeddy
      Black
      Joined: 28.02.2011 Posts: 7,502
      Oka. Ty.
    • kymupa
      kymupa
      Bronze
      Joined: 22.10.2009 Posts: 22,364
      Hello,

      CAP tables, interesting. Are you orientating to play on them now?

      On these tables I'd minraise from any position here.

      I think the flop cbet is fine.
      We have two overcards, backdoor flush and can barrel on some turn cards as well.

      Turn is a good card and I think betting is fine.

      On the river I agree here with mbml.
      Card is a brick and we can hardly make him fold any made hand so I would just check back here and hope to take the SD against something like 98 or so.

      Best,
      Plamen