[NL20-NL50] [SH] NL50, QJ river vbet?

    • TetraQuark
      Joined: 21.05.2008 Posts: 1,520
      $0.25/$0.50 No Limit Holdem
      6 Players
      Hand Conversion Powered by weaktight.com

      UTG ($55.12) 110bb
      UTG+1 ($52.25) 105bb
      CO ($44.16) 88bb
      Hero (BTN) ($121.92) 244bb
      SB ($128.49) 257bb
      BB ($21.75) 44bb

      Pre-Flop: ($0.75, 6 players) Hero is BTN J Q
      3 folds, Hero raises to $1, SB raises to $4.50, 1 fold, Hero calls $3.50

      Flop: T K 9 ($9.50, 2 players)
      SB checks, Hero bets $7.50, SB calls $7.50

      Turn: A ($24.50, 2 players)
      SB checks, Hero bets $21, SB calls $21

      River: 5 ($66.50, 2 players)
      SB checks, Hero checks

      Final Pot: $66.50
      Hero shows a straight, Ten to Ace J Q SB shows a pair of Kings K Q Hero wins $64 (net +$31) SB lost $33


      Villain is 27/19 AF 1.9 - BE player over a large sample.

      3b SBvsBTN 12%
      Skipp cbet OOP and call 22%
      WTSD 27%

      Basically when he checks flop I can put him on 2nd pair type mediocte kind of hand.

      I don't know if he plays his draws like this, but since he is weak tight he potentialy could.

      I opt for bigger bet sizings hence we are deep. I just want to max. value from w/e he decides to c/c with and get the money in.

      River is pretty fugly imo. Can hardly see anything worse calling if I bomb it.
      I don't want to underbet and trigger a potential bluff although 18% AFq on river indicates he probably never bluffs.

      Should this be another value bet on river?
  • 2 replies
    • mbml
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,779

      River bet is really standard. I think he is likelier to play a not-so strong made hand with this c/c line. If you don't want him to fold then you can just half pot and hope he makes some hero-call with KX or AX.

      You seem to have a problem of being too afraid of certain cards. I don't think the flush improves his range too much, in fact you have more flushes in your range than his. But I still think you have the best hand here way too often and he can definitely potentially call with worse.

    • TetraQuark
      Joined: 21.05.2008 Posts: 1,520
      Ty. Definitely potential leak of mine. :f_mad: