[NL20-NL50] [SH] NL50 66, vbet river

    • TetraQuark
      Joined: 21.05.2008 Posts: 1,520
      $0.25/$0.50 No Limit Holdem
      6 Players
      Hand Conversion Powered by weaktight.com

      UTG ($90.91) 182bb
      Hero (UTG+1) ($53.46) 107bb
      CO ($49.50) 99bb
      BTN ($23) 46bb
      SB ($58.50) 117bb
      BB ($120.08) 240bb

      Pre-Flop: ($0.75, 6 players) Hero is UTG+1 6 6
      UTG raises to $1.50, Hero calls $1.50, 3 folds, BB calls $1

      Flop: J 6 Q ($4.75, 3 players)
      BB checks, UTG bets $3.50, Hero calls $3.50, BB folds

      Turn: 3 ($11.75, 2 players)
      UTG checks, Hero bets $5.75, UTG calls $5.75

      River: T ($23.25, 2 players)
      UTG checks, Hero checks

      Final Pot: $23.25
      UTG shows a pair of Queens K Q Hero shows three of a kind, Sixes 6 6 Hero wins $22.20 (net +$11.45) BB lost $1.50 UTG lost $10.75


      Villain is 19/16 AF 1.9 - loosing player.

      UTG OR is 13%
      Cbet by streets 62/43/40
      Skipp cbet OOP and call Turn 58%
      WTSD 27%

      Again can we valuebet this river?

      Also does our absolute hand strength even matter in this spot on river. If we have top or 2nd set, idiot end str8 on river - same question. Can we vbet - he probably just shoves better and rarely ever plays sets or smth that we beat by bet c/c c/c.
  • 1 reply
    • mbml
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,694

      When he c/c, he should have AQ/KQ potcontrolling so much more often than AK (c/c with AK is such a bad play) or flush draws (I think most decent aggro players will barrel this themselves).

      You are so far ahead of his River calling range and you should always bet here yourself. I bet 8-9 on the Turn and half pot or 2/3 pot the River.